Recent forecast guidance for Wellington points to a cool, breezy day on August 6 under a southerly flow, with maximum temperatures most likely reaching 10–11 °C. This aligns with the current cool air mass and patchy rain observed in early August, when daily highs have hovered near 9 °C. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA indicate near-average or below-average winter temperatures for the Wellington region, consistent with the influence of emerging El Niño conditions that often suppress daytime maxima. Historical climatology places early-August highs around 12–13 °C, but persistent cloud cover and strong winds are limiting solar heating and keeping readings several degrees lower. Updated model runs and official MetService guidance through the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift the narrow 10–11 °C window reflected in current market-implied odds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Wellington em 6 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Wellington em 6 de agosto?
11°C 53%
10°C 37%
12°C 9%
9°C 3%
NOVO
$24,920 Vol.
NOVO
$24,920 Vol.
6 ago 2026
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
3%
10°C
37%
11°C
53%
12°C
9%
13°C
2%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
11°C 53%
10°C 37%
12°C 9%
9°C 3%
NOVO
$24,920 Vol.
NOVO
$24,920 Vol.
6 ago 2026
5°C or below
$373 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$353 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$581 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$2,113 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$3,027 Vol.
3%
10°C
$4,247 Vol.
37%
11°C
$5,315 Vol.
53%
12°C
$4,751 Vol.
9%
13°C
$3,387 Vol.
2%
14°C
$577 Vol.
<1%
15°C or higher
$197 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance for Wellington points to a cool, breezy day on August 6 under a southerly flow, with maximum temperatures most likely reaching 10–11 °C. This aligns with the current cool air mass and patchy rain observed in early August, when daily highs have hovered near 9 °C. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA indicate near-average or below-average winter temperatures for the Wellington region, consistent with the influence of emerging El Niño conditions that often suppress daytime maxima. Historical climatology places early-August highs around 12–13 °C, but persistent cloud cover and strong winds are limiting solar heating and keeping readings several degrees lower. Updated model runs and official MetService guidance through the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift the narrow 10–11 °C window reflected in current market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$24,920Data de Término
6 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance for Wellington points to a cool, breezy day on August 6 under a southerly flow, with maximum temperatures most likely reaching 10–11 °C. This aligns with the current cool air mass and patchy rain observed in early August, when daily highs have hovered near 9 °C. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA indicate near-average or below-average winter temperatures for the Wellington region, consistent with the influence of emerging El Niño conditions that often suppress daytime maxima. Historical climatology places early-August highs around 12–13 °C, but persistent cloud cover and strong winds are limiting solar heating and keeping readings several degrees lower. Updated model runs and official MetService guidance through the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift the narrow 10–11 °C window reflected in current market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$24,920Data de Término
6 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance for Wellington points to a cool, breezy day on August 6 under a southerly flow, with maximum temperatures most likely reaching 10–11 °C. This aligns with the current cool air mass and patchy rain observed in early August, when daily highs have hovered near 9 °C. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA indicate near-average or below-average winter temperatures for the Wellington region, consistent with the influence of emerging El Niño conditions that often suppress daytime maxima. Historical climatology places early-August highs around 12–13 °C, but persistent cloud cover and strong winds are limiting solar heating and keeping readings several degrees lower. Updated model runs and official MetService guidance through the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift the narrow 10–11 °C window reflected in current market-implied odds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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