Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and major global models point to a daytime peak of 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 8 under stable high-pressure conditions, light westerly winds, and minimal cloud cover that limit overnight cooling. This aligns closely with August climatology for the coastal plain, where average highs typically range from 30–33°C. Trader consensus has converged on these two outcomes because short-range model runs show no major shifts in steering patterns or humidity that would push temperatures higher or trigger significant cooling. Upcoming model updates and official observations through the evening of August 7 will refine the final resolution threshold.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv em 8 de agosto?
32°C 56%
33°C 35%
31°C 6%
34°C 5%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
6%
32°C
56%
33°C
35%
34°C
5%
35°C
<1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 56%
33°C 35%
31°C 6%
34°C 5%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
6%
32°C
56%
33°C
35%
34°C
5%
35°C
<1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and major global models point to a daytime peak of 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 8 under stable high-pressure conditions, light westerly winds, and minimal cloud cover that limit overnight cooling. This aligns closely with August climatology for the coastal plain, where average highs typically range from 30–33°C. Trader consensus has converged on these two outcomes because short-range model runs show no major shifts in steering patterns or humidity that would push temperatures higher or trigger significant cooling. Upcoming model updates and official observations through the evening of August 7 will refine the final resolution threshold.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


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