Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models points to a peak temperature near 29°C in Istanbul on August 8, driven by persistent high-pressure systems, clear skies, and light northerly winds that limit cloud cover and sea-breeze cooling. This aligns with August climatology, where average daily maxima range 27–30°C amid typical subtropical ridge influences, without signs of an anomalous heatwave or cold front in recent model runs. Current observations show gradual daytime warming from morning lows near 22–24°C, with humidity around 50–70% moderating the felt temperature but not altering the dry-bulb maximum. Trader emphasis on the 29°C outcome reflects the narrow uncertainty band in official station data expected by evening, as any late-day shift in steering patterns or localized convection remains low-probability before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Istambul no dia 8 de agosto?
29°C 61%
28°C 28%
30°C 9%
27°C 3%
$16,755 Vol.
$16,755 Vol.
23°C ou menos
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
28%
29°C
61%
30°C
9%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C ou mais
<1%
29°C 61%
28°C 28%
30°C 9%
27°C 3%
$16,755 Vol.
$16,755 Vol.
23°C ou menos
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
28%
29°C
61%
30°C
9%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models points to a peak temperature near 29°C in Istanbul on August 8, driven by persistent high-pressure systems, clear skies, and light northerly winds that limit cloud cover and sea-breeze cooling. This aligns with August climatology, where average daily maxima range 27–30°C amid typical subtropical ridge influences, without signs of an anomalous heatwave or cold front in recent model runs. Current observations show gradual daytime warming from morning lows near 22–24°C, with humidity around 50–70% moderating the felt temperature but not altering the dry-bulb maximum. Trader emphasis on the 29°C outcome reflects the narrow uncertainty band in official station data expected by evening, as any late-day shift in steering patterns or localized convection remains low-probability before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


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