Uncertainty in short-range forecast models, particularly regarding afternoon cloud cover and shower timing, is driving the close clustering of implied probabilities around 25–26°C for Toronto’s August 7 maximum. Southerly flow and lingering warmth support surface temperatures near seasonal norms of 26–28°C, yet scattered convection expected later in the day could cap peaks by reducing insolation. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread between drier, warmer solutions and those with earlier precipitation, explaining why 27°C holds only 16% odds. Updated runs from the Global Forecast System and Canadian models, plus National Weather Service discussions, will likely refine this range before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Toronto no dia 7 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Toronto no dia 7 de agosto?
26°C 35%
25°C 27%
27°C 16%
24°C 11%
NOVO
NOVO
7 ago 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
11%
25°C
27%
26°C
35%
27°C
16%
28°C
4%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 35%
25°C 27%
27°C 16%
24°C 11%
NOVO
NOVO
7 ago 2026
22°C or below
$98 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$86 Vol.
1%
24°C
$406 Vol.
11%
25°C
$530 Vol.
27%
26°C
$2,162 Vol.
35%
27°C
$434 Vol.
16%
28°C
$2,041 Vol.
4%
29°C
$160 Vol.
3%
30°C
$81 Vol.
1%
31°C
$107 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$121 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Uncertainty in short-range forecast models, particularly regarding afternoon cloud cover and shower timing, is driving the close clustering of implied probabilities around 25–26°C for Toronto’s August 7 maximum. Southerly flow and lingering warmth support surface temperatures near seasonal norms of 26–28°C, yet scattered convection expected later in the day could cap peaks by reducing insolation. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread between drier, warmer solutions and those with earlier precipitation, explaining why 27°C holds only 16% odds. Updated runs from the Global Forecast System and Canadian models, plus National Weather Service discussions, will likely refine this range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$6,225Data de Término
7 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Uncertainty in short-range forecast models, particularly regarding afternoon cloud cover and shower timing, is driving the close clustering of implied probabilities around 25–26°C for Toronto’s August 7 maximum. Southerly flow and lingering warmth support surface temperatures near seasonal norms of 26–28°C, yet scattered convection expected later in the day could cap peaks by reducing insolation. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread between drier, warmer solutions and those with earlier precipitation, explaining why 27°C holds only 16% odds. Updated runs from the Global Forecast System and Canadian models, plus National Weather Service discussions, will likely refine this range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,225Data de Término
7 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Uncertainty in short-range forecast models, particularly regarding afternoon cloud cover and shower timing, is driving the close clustering of implied probabilities around 25–26°C for Toronto’s August 7 maximum. Southerly flow and lingering warmth support surface temperatures near seasonal norms of 26–28°C, yet scattered convection expected later in the day could cap peaks by reducing insolation. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread between drier, warmer solutions and those with earlier precipitation, explaining why 27°C holds only 16% odds. Updated runs from the Global Forecast System and Canadian models, plus National Weather Service discussions, will likely refine this range before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions