Recent short-term forecast models from European agencies show Amsterdam's August 6 maximum temperature likely peaking between 20–22°C under typical late-summer maritime conditions moderated by the North Sea. Close market-implied odds among these outcomes reflect genuine uncertainty in local variables, including diurnal solar heating, cloud cover duration, and subtle shifts in westerly flow that can either enhance or suppress afternoon warming by 1–2°C. Historical climatology places early-August highs near 21–22°C, with model ensembles currently converging on similar values absent strong high-pressure dominance or incoming fronts. Updated runs ahead of resolution will clarify any adjustments from observed trends.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Amesterdão a 6 de agosto?
21°C 43%
22°C 33%
20°C 22%
19°C 3%
$20,545 Vol.
$20,545 Vol.
17°C ou menos
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
22%
21°C
43%
22°C
33%
23°C
2%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C ou mais
<1%
21°C 43%
22°C 33%
20°C 22%
19°C 3%
$20,545 Vol.
$20,545 Vol.
17°C ou menos
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
22%
21°C
43%
22°C
33%
23°C
2%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term forecast models from European agencies show Amsterdam's August 6 maximum temperature likely peaking between 20–22°C under typical late-summer maritime conditions moderated by the North Sea. Close market-implied odds among these outcomes reflect genuine uncertainty in local variables, including diurnal solar heating, cloud cover duration, and subtle shifts in westerly flow that can either enhance or suppress afternoon warming by 1–2°C. Historical climatology places early-August highs near 21–22°C, with model ensembles currently converging on similar values absent strong high-pressure dominance or incoming fronts. Updated runs ahead of resolution will clarify any adjustments from observed trends.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


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