Current ensemble forecasts from NOAA and AccuWeather point to a NYC minimum temperature in the mid-to-upper 70s°F on August 9, driven by a warm, humid air mass with limited nocturnal radiative cooling under weak high pressure. The Climate Prediction Center’s August outlook favoring above-average temperatures supports elevated overnight lows relative to the 70°F climatological norm, while model spreads in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover create the tight 40% and 35% implied probabilities on the 76-77°F and 78-79°F bins. Traders appear to weigh these factors against historical variability in urban heat retention, with resolution hinging on official Central Park observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Nova York em 9 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Nova York em 9 de agosto?
76-77°F 40%
78-79°F 36%
74-75°F 14%
80-81°F 10%
NOVO
NOVO
9 ago 2026
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
14%
76-77°F
40%
78-79°F
36%
80-81°F
10%
82-83°F
4%
84°F or higher
1%
76-77°F 40%
78-79°F 36%
74-75°F 14%
80-81°F 10%
NOVO
NOVO
9 ago 2026
65°F or below
$20 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$20 Vol.
1%
68-69°F
$20 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$27 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$10 Vol.
4%
74-75°F
$126 Vol.
14%
76-77°F
$91 Vol.
40%
78-79°F
$20 Vol.
36%
80-81°F
$116 Vol.
10%
82-83°F
$243 Vol.
4%
84°F or higher
$20 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from NOAA and AccuWeather point to a NYC minimum temperature in the mid-to-upper 70s°F on August 9, driven by a warm, humid air mass with limited nocturnal radiative cooling under weak high pressure. The Climate Prediction Center’s August outlook favoring above-average temperatures supports elevated overnight lows relative to the 70°F climatological norm, while model spreads in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover create the tight 40% and 35% implied probabilities on the 76-77°F and 78-79°F bins. Traders appear to weigh these factors against historical variability in urban heat retention, with resolution hinging on official Central Park observations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 7, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$713Data de Término
9 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 7, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from NOAA and AccuWeather point to a NYC minimum temperature in the mid-to-upper 70s°F on August 9, driven by a warm, humid air mass with limited nocturnal radiative cooling under weak high pressure. The Climate Prediction Center’s August outlook favoring above-average temperatures supports elevated overnight lows relative to the 70°F climatological norm, while model spreads in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover create the tight 40% and 35% implied probabilities on the 76-77°F and 78-79°F bins. Traders appear to weigh these factors against historical variability in urban heat retention, with resolution hinging on official Central Park observations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$713Data de Término
9 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 7, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from NOAA and AccuWeather point to a NYC minimum temperature in the mid-to-upper 70s°F on August 9, driven by a warm, humid air mass with limited nocturnal radiative cooling under weak high pressure. The Climate Prediction Center’s August outlook favoring above-average temperatures supports elevated overnight lows relative to the 70°F climatological norm, while model spreads in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover create the tight 40% and 35% implied probabilities on the 76-77°F and 78-79°F bins. Traders appear to weigh these factors against historical variability in urban heat retention, with resolution hinging on official Central Park observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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