Trader consensus in the Chongqing temperature market centers on 32°C as the most likely daily high for August 8, reflecting recent numerical weather prediction outputs that incorporate the city's subtropical monsoon climate, persistent high humidity, and surrounding mountainous terrain that can trap heat. Official guidance from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and global models currently indicate afternoon maxima near 32–34°C (roughly 90–93°F), with limited cloud cover or isolated thunderstorms potentially capping peaks and preventing stronger heating. Historical August averages for the region hover around 33–34°C, providing a baseline that aligns with the tight clustering of implied probabilities between 31°C and 33°C. No major synoptic shifts, such as an incoming cold front or typhoon influence, have emerged in the latest model runs to alter this outlook ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Chongqing em 8 de agosto?
32°C 38%
31°C 23%
33°C 20%
34°C 13%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
8%
31°C
23%
32°C
38%
33°C
20%
34°C
13%
35°C
2%
36°C ou mais
1%
32°C 38%
31°C 23%
33°C 20%
34°C 13%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
8%
31°C
23%
32°C
38%
33°C
20%
34°C
13%
35°C
2%
36°C ou mais
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus in the Chongqing temperature market centers on 32°C as the most likely daily high for August 8, reflecting recent numerical weather prediction outputs that incorporate the city's subtropical monsoon climate, persistent high humidity, and surrounding mountainous terrain that can trap heat. Official guidance from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and global models currently indicate afternoon maxima near 32–34°C (roughly 90–93°F), with limited cloud cover or isolated thunderstorms potentially capping peaks and preventing stronger heating. Historical August averages for the region hover around 33–34°C, providing a baseline that aligns with the tight clustering of implied probabilities between 31°C and 33°C. No major synoptic shifts, such as an incoming cold front or typhoon influence, have emerged in the latest model runs to alter this outlook ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

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