Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and models indicate a daily minimum near 25°C for Incheon on August 10 amid ongoing heatwave conditions and mostly cloudy skies that limit nocturnal radiational cooling. This places the market-implied odds for 24–25°C outcomes in close contention, with slight downward revisions possible if increased cloud cover or marine influence from the Yellow Sea enhances overnight mixing. Differentiation among 24–26°C hinges on boundary-layer humidity, wind speeds, and urban heat-island effects in the Seoul-Incheon corridor, where even modest changes in diurnal range can shift the recorded low by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and official morning observations on the 9th–10th will likely refine trader consensus before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Seul (Incheon) em 10 de agosto?
25°C 46%
26°C 27%
24°C 19%
28°C 10%
19°C ou menos
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
8%
24°C
39%
25°C
46%
26°C
27%
27°C
8%
28°C
10%
29°C ou mais
1%
25°C 46%
26°C 27%
24°C 19%
28°C 10%
19°C ou menos
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
8%
24°C
39%
25°C
46%
26°C
27%
27°C
8%
28°C
10%
29°C ou mais
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and models indicate a daily minimum near 25°C for Incheon on August 10 amid ongoing heatwave conditions and mostly cloudy skies that limit nocturnal radiational cooling. This places the market-implied odds for 24–25°C outcomes in close contention, with slight downward revisions possible if increased cloud cover or marine influence from the Yellow Sea enhances overnight mixing. Differentiation among 24–26°C hinges on boundary-layer humidity, wind speeds, and urban heat-island effects in the Seoul-Incheon corridor, where even modest changes in diurnal range can shift the recorded low by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and official morning observations on the 9th–10th will likely refine trader consensus before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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