Traders see the highest temperature in Chicago on August 9 clustering near the seasonal normal of 83°F because National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models currently favor partly cloudy skies with highs around 80–85°F. Lake Michigan’s moderating influence limits extreme warming, while variable steering patterns and possible afternoon cloud build-up or light showers introduce uncertainty that spreads probability across the 80–85°F range. Recent model runs show limited disagreement on boundary-layer moisture and wind, keeping the distribution tight rather than favoring outliers above 88°F or below 78°F. Upcoming NWS forecast updates and next model cycles will refine whether subtle ridging strengthens enough to push the daily maximum into the upper 80s.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Chicago em 9 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Chicago em 9 de agosto?
82-83°F 28%
27-27,2°C 26%
84-85°F 17%
78-79°F 11%
NOVO
NOVO
9 ago 2026
77°F ou menos
3%
78-79°F
11%
27-27,2°C
26%
82-83°F
28%
84-85°F
17%
30-31°C
11%
88-89°F
7%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
1%
96°F ou mais
<1%
82-83°F 28%
27-27,2°C 26%
84-85°F 17%
78-79°F 11%
NOVO
NOVO
9 ago 2026
77°F ou menos
$1,368 Vol.
3%
78-79°F
$695 Vol.
11%
27-27,2°C
$170 Vol.
26%
82-83°F
$113 Vol.
28%
84-85°F
$612 Vol.
17%
30-31°C
$257 Vol.
11%
88-89°F
$253 Vol.
7%
90-91°F
$1,627 Vol.
3%
92-93°F
$100 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$6 Vol.
1%
96°F ou mais
$441 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the highest temperature in Chicago on August 9 clustering near the seasonal normal of 83°F because National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models currently favor partly cloudy skies with highs around 80–85°F. Lake Michigan’s moderating influence limits extreme warming, while variable steering patterns and possible afternoon cloud build-up or light showers introduce uncertainty that spreads probability across the 80–85°F range. Recent model runs show limited disagreement on boundary-layer moisture and wind, keeping the distribution tight rather than favoring outliers above 88°F or below 78°F. Upcoming NWS forecast updates and next model cycles will refine whether subtle ridging strengthens enough to push the daily maximum into the upper 80s.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 7, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$5,642Data de Término
9 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 7, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the highest temperature in Chicago on August 9 clustering near the seasonal normal of 83°F because National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models currently favor partly cloudy skies with highs around 80–85°F. Lake Michigan’s moderating influence limits extreme warming, while variable steering patterns and possible afternoon cloud build-up or light showers introduce uncertainty that spreads probability across the 80–85°F range. Recent model runs show limited disagreement on boundary-layer moisture and wind, keeping the distribution tight rather than favoring outliers above 88°F or below 78°F. Upcoming NWS forecast updates and next model cycles will refine whether subtle ridging strengthens enough to push the daily maximum into the upper 80s.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,642Data de Término
9 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 7, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the highest temperature in Chicago on August 9 clustering near the seasonal normal of 83°F because National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models currently favor partly cloudy skies with highs around 80–85°F. Lake Michigan’s moderating influence limits extreme warming, while variable steering patterns and possible afternoon cloud build-up or light showers introduce uncertainty that spreads probability across the 80–85°F range. Recent model runs show limited disagreement on boundary-layer moisture and wind, keeping the distribution tight rather than favoring outliers above 88°F or below 78°F. Upcoming NWS forecast updates and next model cycles will refine whether subtle ridging strengthens enough to push the daily maximum into the upper 80s.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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