Current forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and consensus guidance point to a daily high near 35–37°C on August 9, driven by typical midsummer subtropical conditions with above-normal seasonal temperatures expected through October. Recent multi-model runs show limited cloud cover and light winds favoring daytime heating, though scattered showers could moderate peaks. Historical August averages hover around 31–32°C, making the implied probabilities for 35°C (40.5%) and 36°C (27.5%) reflect trader assessment of these warmer anomalies amid forecast uncertainty. Updated regional guidance and any typhoon influences in the coming 48 hours represent the main variables that could shift resolution thresholds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 9 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 9 de agosto?
35°C 41%
36°C 28%
37°C 14%
34°C 13%
NOVO
$15,898 Vol.
NOVO
$15,898 Vol.
9 ago 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
5%
34°C
13%
35°C
41%
36°C
28%
37°C
14%
38°C
4%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
35°C 41%
36°C 28%
37°C 14%
34°C 13%
NOVO
$15,898 Vol.
NOVO
$15,898 Vol.
9 ago 2026
31°C or below
$1,033 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$3,198 Vol.
1%
33°C
$1,438 Vol.
5%
34°C
$1,406 Vol.
13%
35°C
$2,284 Vol.
41%
36°C
$1,797 Vol.
28%
37°C
$1,610 Vol.
14%
38°C
$1,881 Vol.
4%
39°C
$453 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$382 Vol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$415 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and consensus guidance point to a daily high near 35–37°C on August 9, driven by typical midsummer subtropical conditions with above-normal seasonal temperatures expected through October. Recent multi-model runs show limited cloud cover and light winds favoring daytime heating, though scattered showers could moderate peaks. Historical August averages hover around 31–32°C, making the implied probabilities for 35°C (40.5%) and 36°C (27.5%) reflect trader assessment of these warmer anomalies amid forecast uncertainty. Updated regional guidance and any typhoon influences in the coming 48 hours represent the main variables that could shift resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$15,898Data de Término
9 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and consensus guidance point to a daily high near 35–37°C on August 9, driven by typical midsummer subtropical conditions with above-normal seasonal temperatures expected through October. Recent multi-model runs show limited cloud cover and light winds favoring daytime heating, though scattered showers could moderate peaks. Historical August averages hover around 31–32°C, making the implied probabilities for 35°C (40.5%) and 36°C (27.5%) reflect trader assessment of these warmer anomalies amid forecast uncertainty. Updated regional guidance and any typhoon influences in the coming 48 hours represent the main variables that could shift resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$15,898Data de Término
9 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and consensus guidance point to a daily high near 35–37°C on August 9, driven by typical midsummer subtropical conditions with above-normal seasonal temperatures expected through October. Recent multi-model runs show limited cloud cover and light winds favoring daytime heating, though scattered showers could moderate peaks. Historical August averages hover around 31–32°C, making the implied probabilities for 35°C (40.5%) and 36°C (27.5%) reflect trader assessment of these warmer anomalies amid forecast uncertainty. Updated regional guidance and any typhoon influences in the coming 48 hours represent the main variables that could shift resolution thresholds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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