Recent JMA forecasts for Tokyo show daytime maxima near 28–29°C on August 13 amid 50–80% rain probabilities and variable cloud cover that can suppress afternoon heating. These conditions, combined with the lingering influence of the Pacific High and potential short-wave disturbances, keep model guidance tightly clustered around 27–30°C rather than the seasonal normal of 31.6°C. Trader consensus at 27–29°C reflects this narrow spread and the sensitivity of peak temperatures to even modest changes in insolation or timing of showers, with limited upside risk for 31°C+ under the current pattern. Updated model runs and the next JMA bulletin will likely narrow the distribution further before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tóquio no dia 13 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Tóquio no dia 13 de agosto?
29°C 28%
28°C 25%
27°C 22%
30°C 13%
NOVO
NOVO
13 ago 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
22%
28°C
25%
29°C
28%
30°C
13%
31°C
7%
32°C
5%
33°C or higher
1%
29°C 28%
28°C 25%
27°C 22%
30°C 13%
NOVO
NOVO
13 ago 2026
23°C or below
$15 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$42 Vol.
1%
26°C
$10 Vol.
6%
27°C
$0 Vol.
22%
28°C
$14 Vol.
25%
29°C
$30 Vol.
28%
30°C
$28 Vol.
13%
31°C
$12 Vol.
7%
32°C
$222 Vol.
5%
33°C or higher
$414 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent JMA forecasts for Tokyo show daytime maxima near 28–29°C on August 13 amid 50–80% rain probabilities and variable cloud cover that can suppress afternoon heating. These conditions, combined with the lingering influence of the Pacific High and potential short-wave disturbances, keep model guidance tightly clustered around 27–30°C rather than the seasonal normal of 31.6°C. Trader consensus at 27–29°C reflects this narrow spread and the sensitivity of peak temperatures to even modest changes in insolation or timing of showers, with limited upside risk for 31°C+ under the current pattern. Updated model runs and the next JMA bulletin will likely narrow the distribution further before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$803Data de Término
13 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent JMA forecasts for Tokyo show daytime maxima near 28–29°C on August 13 amid 50–80% rain probabilities and variable cloud cover that can suppress afternoon heating. These conditions, combined with the lingering influence of the Pacific High and potential short-wave disturbances, keep model guidance tightly clustered around 27–30°C rather than the seasonal normal of 31.6°C. Trader consensus at 27–29°C reflects this narrow spread and the sensitivity of peak temperatures to even modest changes in insolation or timing of showers, with limited upside risk for 31°C+ under the current pattern. Updated model runs and the next JMA bulletin will likely narrow the distribution further before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$803Data de Término
13 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent JMA forecasts for Tokyo show daytime maxima near 28–29°C on August 13 amid 50–80% rain probabilities and variable cloud cover that can suppress afternoon heating. These conditions, combined with the lingering influence of the Pacific High and potential short-wave disturbances, keep model guidance tightly clustered around 27–30°C rather than the seasonal normal of 31.6°C. Trader consensus at 27–29°C reflects this narrow spread and the sensitivity of peak temperatures to even modest changes in insolation or timing of showers, with limited upside risk for 31°C+ under the current pattern. Updated model runs and the next JMA bulletin will likely narrow the distribution further before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions