Southwest monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered heavy rainfall over Metro Manila through August 13 are the dominant factors capping daytime highs, with PAGASA outlooks showing 60-90% rain probabilities that limit solar heating and keep maximum temperatures clustered around 30-32°C. A strengthening El Niño in the equatorial Pacific adds longer-term warming potential but has limited influence on this short-term monsoon pattern. Official forecasts from PAGASA and AccuWeather place typical highs near 31°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds for 29-31°C as traders weigh model consensus on cloud thickness, wind patterns, and any brief clearing that could push readings higher. Updated agency briefings on August 12 will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Manila em 13 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Manila em 13 de agosto?
29°C 32%
31°C 27%
30°C 26%
32°C 16%
NOVO
NOVO
13 ago 2026
25°C ou menos
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
7%
28°C
10%
29°C
32%
30°C
26%
31°C
27%
32°C
16%
33°C
2%
34°C
2%
35°C ou mais
1%
29°C 32%
31°C 27%
30°C 26%
32°C 16%
NOVO
NOVO
13 ago 2026
25°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
1%
26°C
$10 Vol.
1%
27°C
$27 Vol.
7%
28°C
$0 Vol.
10%
29°C
$0 Vol.
32%
30°C
$0 Vol.
26%
31°C
$1 Vol.
27%
32°C
$116 Vol.
16%
33°C
$424 Vol.
2%
34°C
$5 Vol.
2%
35°C ou mais
$15 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Southwest monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered heavy rainfall over Metro Manila through August 13 are the dominant factors capping daytime highs, with PAGASA outlooks showing 60-90% rain probabilities that limit solar heating and keep maximum temperatures clustered around 30-32°C. A strengthening El Niño in the equatorial Pacific adds longer-term warming potential but has limited influence on this short-term monsoon pattern. Official forecasts from PAGASA and AccuWeather place typical highs near 31°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds for 29-31°C as traders weigh model consensus on cloud thickness, wind patterns, and any brief clearing that could push readings higher. Updated agency briefings on August 12 will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$598Data de Término
13 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Southwest monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered heavy rainfall over Metro Manila through August 13 are the dominant factors capping daytime highs, with PAGASA outlooks showing 60-90% rain probabilities that limit solar heating and keep maximum temperatures clustered around 30-32°C. A strengthening El Niño in the equatorial Pacific adds longer-term warming potential but has limited influence on this short-term monsoon pattern. Official forecasts from PAGASA and AccuWeather place typical highs near 31°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds for 29-31°C as traders weigh model consensus on cloud thickness, wind patterns, and any brief clearing that could push readings higher. Updated agency briefings on August 12 will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$598Data de Término
13 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Southwest monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered heavy rainfall over Metro Manila through August 13 are the dominant factors capping daytime highs, with PAGASA outlooks showing 60-90% rain probabilities that limit solar heating and keep maximum temperatures clustered around 30-32°C. A strengthening El Niño in the equatorial Pacific adds longer-term warming potential but has limited influence on this short-term monsoon pattern. Official forecasts from PAGASA and AccuWeather place typical highs near 31°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds for 29-31°C as traders weigh model consensus on cloud thickness, wind patterns, and any brief clearing that could push readings higher. Updated agency briefings on August 12 will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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