The southwest monsoon dominating Luzon continues to drive cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate humidity across Metro Manila, keeping daytime maxima near or slightly below seasonal norms of 31°C. PAGASA’s latest extended outlook projects a 33°C high for August 12 with only a 30% rain chance, yet persistent monsoon moisture and limited insolation have historically trimmed actual peaks by 1–2°C on similar days. Ensemble guidance from regional models shows modest spread around 30–32°C, with stronger afternoon convection favoring the lower end of that range. These conditions explain why the market currently prices 30°C and 31°C as the clear frontrunners while assigning low probability to 33°C or higher.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Manila em 12 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Manila em 12 de agosto?
30°C 41%
31°C 28%
29°C 24%
32°C 7%
NOVO
NOVO
12 ago 2026
24°C ou menos
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
7%
29°C
24%
30°C
41%
31°C
28%
32°C
7%
33°C
3%
34°C ou mais
<1%
30°C 41%
31°C 28%
29°C 24%
32°C 7%
NOVO
NOVO
12 ago 2026
24°C ou menos
$18 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$18 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$18 Vol.
1%
27°C
$29 Vol.
3%
28°C
$126 Vol.
7%
29°C
$31 Vol.
24%
30°C
$28 Vol.
41%
31°C
$48 Vol.
28%
32°C
$207 Vol.
7%
33°C
$223 Vol.
3%
34°C ou mais
$118 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The southwest monsoon dominating Luzon continues to drive cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate humidity across Metro Manila, keeping daytime maxima near or slightly below seasonal norms of 31°C. PAGASA’s latest extended outlook projects a 33°C high for August 12 with only a 30% rain chance, yet persistent monsoon moisture and limited insolation have historically trimmed actual peaks by 1–2°C on similar days. Ensemble guidance from regional models shows modest spread around 30–32°C, with stronger afternoon convection favoring the lower end of that range. These conditions explain why the market currently prices 30°C and 31°C as the clear frontrunners while assigning low probability to 33°C or higher.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$865Data de Término
12 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The southwest monsoon dominating Luzon continues to drive cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate humidity across Metro Manila, keeping daytime maxima near or slightly below seasonal norms of 31°C. PAGASA’s latest extended outlook projects a 33°C high for August 12 with only a 30% rain chance, yet persistent monsoon moisture and limited insolation have historically trimmed actual peaks by 1–2°C on similar days. Ensemble guidance from regional models shows modest spread around 30–32°C, with stronger afternoon convection favoring the lower end of that range. These conditions explain why the market currently prices 30°C and 31°C as the clear frontrunners while assigning low probability to 33°C or higher.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$865Data de Término
12 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...The southwest monsoon dominating Luzon continues to drive cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate humidity across Metro Manila, keeping daytime maxima near or slightly below seasonal norms of 31°C. PAGASA’s latest extended outlook projects a 33°C high for August 12 with only a 30% rain chance, yet persistent monsoon moisture and limited insolation have historically trimmed actual peaks by 1–2°C on similar days. Ensemble guidance from regional models shows modest spread around 30–32°C, with stronger afternoon convection favoring the lower end of that range. These conditions explain why the market currently prices 30°C and 31°C as the clear frontrunners while assigning low probability to 33°C or higher.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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