Persistent subtropical high pressure over the Sichuan Basin is sustaining clear skies and strong daytime heating in Chengdu, driving market-implied odds toward 37°C (33.5%) and 38°C (26.5%) as the most likely maxima on August 12. Ensemble forecasts from international and Chinese models cluster daily highs near 35–36°C, with limited cloud cover and minimal precipitation risk allowing peak surface temperatures to reach the upper 30s under typical August insolation. Slight model spread arises from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island amplification, and any late-day moisture advection that could cap the extreme. Official China Meteorological Administration guidance and updated runs in the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Chengdu no dia 12 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Chengdu no dia 12 de agosto?
37°C 34%
38°C 25%
36°C 17%
39°C 12%
NOVO
NOVO
12 ago 2026
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
3%
34°C
4%
35°C
7%
36°C
17%
37°C
34%
38°C
25%
39°C
12%
40°C
4%
41°C
1%
42°C or higher
<1%
37°C 34%
38°C 25%
36°C 17%
39°C 12%
NOVO
NOVO
12 ago 2026
32°C or below
$33 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$12 Vol.
3%
34°C
$50 Vol.
4%
35°C
$41 Vol.
7%
36°C
$47 Vol.
17%
37°C
$126 Vol.
34%
38°C
$216 Vol.
25%
39°C
$54 Vol.
12%
40°C
$84 Vol.
4%
41°C
$12 Vol.
1%
42°C or higher
$46 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent subtropical high pressure over the Sichuan Basin is sustaining clear skies and strong daytime heating in Chengdu, driving market-implied odds toward 37°C (33.5%) and 38°C (26.5%) as the most likely maxima on August 12. Ensemble forecasts from international and Chinese models cluster daily highs near 35–36°C, with limited cloud cover and minimal precipitation risk allowing peak surface temperatures to reach the upper 30s under typical August insolation. Slight model spread arises from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island amplification, and any late-day moisture advection that could cap the extreme. Official China Meteorological Administration guidance and updated runs in the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$720Data de Término
12 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent subtropical high pressure over the Sichuan Basin is sustaining clear skies and strong daytime heating in Chengdu, driving market-implied odds toward 37°C (33.5%) and 38°C (26.5%) as the most likely maxima on August 12. Ensemble forecasts from international and Chinese models cluster daily highs near 35–36°C, with limited cloud cover and minimal precipitation risk allowing peak surface temperatures to reach the upper 30s under typical August insolation. Slight model spread arises from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island amplification, and any late-day moisture advection that could cap the extreme. Official China Meteorological Administration guidance and updated runs in the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$720Data de Término
12 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent subtropical high pressure over the Sichuan Basin is sustaining clear skies and strong daytime heating in Chengdu, driving market-implied odds toward 37°C (33.5%) and 38°C (26.5%) as the most likely maxima on August 12. Ensemble forecasts from international and Chinese models cluster daily highs near 35–36°C, with limited cloud cover and minimal precipitation risk allowing peak surface temperatures to reach the upper 30s under typical August insolation. Slight model spread arises from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island amplification, and any late-day moisture advection that could cap the extreme. Official China Meteorological Administration guidance and updated runs in the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions