Recent ECMWF and KNMI ensemble runs point to a 27–28°C daily maximum in Amsterdam on August 12 as the most probable outcome, reflecting a moderating westerly flow after early-August peaks above 33°C. Model spread arises mainly from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover, keeping 26°C and 29°C viable but lower-probability alternatives. Historical August averages near 21–22°C place the current signal above normal, yet well short of heatwave thresholds. Updated high-resolution guidance expected within 24 hours will further narrow resolution criteria centered on official KNMI observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Amesterdão a 12 de agosto?
27°C 39%
28°C 31%
26°C 15%
29°C 13%
23°C ou menos
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
3%
26°C
15%
27°C
39%
28°C
31%
29°C
13%
30°C
5%
31°C
2%
32°C
<1%
33°C ou mais
1%
27°C 39%
28°C 31%
26°C 15%
29°C 13%
23°C ou menos
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
3%
26°C
15%
27°C
39%
28°C
31%
29°C
13%
30°C
5%
31°C
2%
32°C
<1%
33°C ou mais
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ECMWF and KNMI ensemble runs point to a 27–28°C daily maximum in Amsterdam on August 12 as the most probable outcome, reflecting a moderating westerly flow after early-August peaks above 33°C. Model spread arises mainly from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover, keeping 26°C and 29°C viable but lower-probability alternatives. Historical August averages near 21–22°C place the current signal above normal, yet well short of heatwave thresholds. Updated high-resolution guidance expected within 24 hours will further narrow resolution criteria centered on official KNMI observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado



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