Recent forecasts from major models show Moscow experiencing a notable cooldown on August 12, with daily highs likely settling between 17–18 °C amid a passing cold front, increased cloud cover, and lighter winds that limit daytime heating. This follows warmer conditions earlier in the week, when highs reached the mid-20s °C under clearer skies. Ensemble guidance highlights modest uncertainty in exact maximum values, driven by variable precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture, which explains the near-even market-implied odds between 17 °C and 18 °C. Historical August averages near 21–22 °C provide context, but short-term steering patterns currently favor the lower end of typical late-summer variability. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Moscovo a 12 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Moscovo a 12 de agosto?
18°C 35%
17°C 35%
19°C 14%
16°C 9%
NOVO
NOVO
12 ago 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
6%
14°C
7%
15°C
5%
16°C
9%
17°C
35%
18°C
35%
19°C
14%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C or higher
3%
18°C 35%
17°C 35%
19°C 14%
16°C 9%
NOVO
NOVO
12 ago 2026
12°C or below
$13 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$12 Vol.
6%
14°C
$12 Vol.
7%
15°C
$23 Vol.
5%
16°C
$187 Vol.
9%
17°C
$44 Vol.
35%
18°C
$21 Vol.
35%
19°C
$142 Vol.
14%
20°C
$27 Vol.
4%
21°C
$39 Vol.
4%
22°C or higher
$17 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from major models show Moscow experiencing a notable cooldown on August 12, with daily highs likely settling between 17–18 °C amid a passing cold front, increased cloud cover, and lighter winds that limit daytime heating. This follows warmer conditions earlier in the week, when highs reached the mid-20s °C under clearer skies. Ensemble guidance highlights modest uncertainty in exact maximum values, driven by variable precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture, which explains the near-even market-implied odds between 17 °C and 18 °C. Historical August averages near 21–22 °C provide context, but short-term steering patterns currently favor the lower end of typical late-summer variability. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$538Data de Término
12 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from major models show Moscow experiencing a notable cooldown on August 12, with daily highs likely settling between 17–18 °C amid a passing cold front, increased cloud cover, and lighter winds that limit daytime heating. This follows warmer conditions earlier in the week, when highs reached the mid-20s °C under clearer skies. Ensemble guidance highlights modest uncertainty in exact maximum values, driven by variable precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture, which explains the near-even market-implied odds between 17 °C and 18 °C. Historical August averages near 21–22 °C provide context, but short-term steering patterns currently favor the lower end of typical late-summer variability. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$538Data de Término
12 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from major models show Moscow experiencing a notable cooldown on August 12, with daily highs likely settling between 17–18 °C amid a passing cold front, increased cloud cover, and lighter winds that limit daytime heating. This follows warmer conditions earlier in the week, when highs reached the mid-20s °C under clearer skies. Ensemble guidance highlights modest uncertainty in exact maximum values, driven by variable precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture, which explains the near-even market-implied odds between 17 °C and 18 °C. Historical August averages near 21–22 °C provide context, but short-term steering patterns currently favor the lower end of typical late-summer variability. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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