Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate a persistent subtropical high over central China will drive Wuhan's August 10 maximum near 30–32 °C, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Subtropical ridge dynamics favor strong solar insolation and light winds that limit mixing, while urban heat-island effects in the Yangtze River valley amplify daytime peaks by 1–2 °C relative to rural stations. Minor model spread arises from uncertainty in afternoon humidity profiles and any thin cloud cover or distant frontal moisture that could shave 1 °C off the high. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles expected over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Wuhan em 10 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Wuhan em 10 de agosto?
31°C 29%
30°C 25%
32°C 23%
29°C 13.0%
NOVO
$10,151 Vol.
NOVO
$10,151 Vol.
10 ago 2026
26°C ou menos
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
13%
30°C
25%
31°C
29%
32°C
23%
33°C
5%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C ou mais
<1%
31°C 29%
30°C 25%
32°C 23%
29°C 13.0%
NOVO
$10,151 Vol.
NOVO
$10,151 Vol.
10 ago 2026
26°C ou menos
$369 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$367 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$385 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,507 Vol.
13%
30°C
$1,535 Vol.
25%
31°C
$1,031 Vol.
29%
32°C
$1,276 Vol.
23%
33°C
$1,654 Vol.
5%
34°C
$1,006 Vol.
2%
35°C
$569 Vol.
<1%
36°C ou mais
$453 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate a persistent subtropical high over central China will drive Wuhan's August 10 maximum near 30–32 °C, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Subtropical ridge dynamics favor strong solar insolation and light winds that limit mixing, while urban heat-island effects in the Yangtze River valley amplify daytime peaks by 1–2 °C relative to rural stations. Minor model spread arises from uncertainty in afternoon humidity profiles and any thin cloud cover or distant frontal moisture that could shave 1 °C off the high. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles expected over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$10,151Data de Término
10 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate a persistent subtropical high over central China will drive Wuhan's August 10 maximum near 30–32 °C, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Subtropical ridge dynamics favor strong solar insolation and light winds that limit mixing, while urban heat-island effects in the Yangtze River valley amplify daytime peaks by 1–2 °C relative to rural stations. Minor model spread arises from uncertainty in afternoon humidity profiles and any thin cloud cover or distant frontal moisture that could shave 1 °C off the high. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles expected over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,151Data de Término
10 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate a persistent subtropical high over central China will drive Wuhan's August 10 maximum near 30–32 °C, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Subtropical ridge dynamics favor strong solar insolation and light winds that limit mixing, while urban heat-island effects in the Yangtze River valley amplify daytime peaks by 1–2 °C relative to rural stations. Minor model spread arises from uncertainty in afternoon humidity profiles and any thin cloud cover or distant frontal moisture that could shave 1 °C off the high. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles expected over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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