Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts and model consensus point to a maximum temperature near 35–36°C in Lucknow on August 12 amid active southwest monsoon conditions, driving the tight market split between those two outcomes. Persistent moisture, high humidity, and variable cloud cover limit diurnal heating while scattered thundershowers and light rain provide localized cooling, keeping extremes below 37°C. Steadier breaks in cloudiness or reduced precipitation could allow the higher end of the range, whereas stronger convective activity would favor 34°C or lower. Traders weigh these short-term variables against typical August climatology of 31–34°C highs. Updated IMD briefings and satellite observations over the next 48 hours will refine the outlook.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Lucknow em 12 de agosto?
36°C 40%
35°C 38%
34°C 12%
37°C 8%
28°C ou menos
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
4%
34°C
12%
35°C
38%
36°C
40%
37°C
8%
38°C ou mais
2%
36°C 40%
35°C 38%
34°C 12%
37°C 8%
28°C ou menos
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
4%
34°C
12%
35°C
38%
36°C
40%
37°C
8%
38°C ou mais
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 10, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts and model consensus point to a maximum temperature near 35–36°C in Lucknow on August 12 amid active southwest monsoon conditions, driving the tight market split between those two outcomes. Persistent moisture, high humidity, and variable cloud cover limit diurnal heating while scattered thundershowers and light rain provide localized cooling, keeping extremes below 37°C. Steadier breaks in cloudiness or reduced precipitation could allow the higher end of the range, whereas stronger convective activity would favor 34°C or lower. Traders weigh these short-term variables against typical August climatology of 31–34°C highs. Updated IMD briefings and satellite observations over the next 48 hours will refine the outlook.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


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