Current forecasts from meteorological agencies place Chengdu's peak temperature on August 13 around 35–37°C under mostly sunny skies with light winds, driven by a persistent subtropical high and typical Sichuan basin heat retention amid summer humidity. Model consensus supports these values as the most probable range, with 37°C holding the highest implied probability due to recent runs showing minimal cooling or precipitation interference through the short-term window. Historical August baselines near 30–34°C provide context, yet the current pattern favors slight elevation above norms. Traders weigh these dynamics against potential model revisions or localized variability before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Chengdu no dia 13 de agosto?
37°C 36%
38°C 25%
36°C 21%
39°C 12%
32°C ou menos
4%
33°C
4%
34°C
5%
35°C
10%
36°C
21%
37°C
36%
38°C
25%
39°C
12%
40°C
6%
41°C
1%
42°C ou mais
1%
37°C 36%
38°C 25%
36°C 21%
39°C 12%
32°C ou menos
4%
33°C
4%
34°C
5%
35°C
10%
36°C
21%
37°C
36%
38°C
25%
39°C
12%
40°C
6%
41°C
1%
42°C ou mais
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological agencies place Chengdu's peak temperature on August 13 around 35–37°C under mostly sunny skies with light winds, driven by a persistent subtropical high and typical Sichuan basin heat retention amid summer humidity. Model consensus supports these values as the most probable range, with 37°C holding the highest implied probability due to recent runs showing minimal cooling or precipitation interference through the short-term window. Historical August baselines near 30–34°C provide context, yet the current pattern favors slight elevation above norms. Traders weigh these dynamics against potential model revisions or localized variability before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

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