Forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and TimeandDate indicate a daytime maximum near 29–30°C for São Paulo on August 17, reflecting typical late-winter subtropical conditions with ample solar insolation under partly cloudy skies, light winds, and low humidity around 50–60%. This positions the market’s closely bunched probabilities for 29°C, 30°C, and 31°C as a reflection of remaining uncertainty in peak afternoon heating, urban heat-island effects, and minor differences among ensemble runs. Historical August averages near 23–25°C provide context for the current warmer anomaly, while resolution hinges on official INMET observations of the daily high. Updated model guidance on cloud cover or any approaching frontal boundary could shift the tight consensus before tomorrow’s peak.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em São Paulo no dia 17 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em São Paulo no dia 17 de agosto?
30°C 36%
31°C 27%
29°C 23%
32°C or higher 8%
NOVO
NOVO
17 ago 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
7%
29°C
23%
30°C
36%
31°C
27%
32°C or higher
8%
30°C 36%
31°C 27%
29°C 23%
32°C or higher 8%
NOVO
NOVO
17 ago 2026
22°C or below
$313 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$313 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$313 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$96 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$14 Vol.
1%
27°C
$9 Vol.
2%
28°C
$8 Vol.
7%
29°C
$255 Vol.
23%
30°C
$91 Vol.
36%
31°C
$188 Vol.
27%
32°C or higher
$7 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and TimeandDate indicate a daytime maximum near 29–30°C for São Paulo on August 17, reflecting typical late-winter subtropical conditions with ample solar insolation under partly cloudy skies, light winds, and low humidity around 50–60%. This positions the market’s closely bunched probabilities for 29°C, 30°C, and 31°C as a reflection of remaining uncertainty in peak afternoon heating, urban heat-island effects, and minor differences among ensemble runs. Historical August averages near 23–25°C provide context for the current warmer anomaly, while resolution hinges on official INMET observations of the daily high. Updated model guidance on cloud cover or any approaching frontal boundary could shift the tight consensus before tomorrow’s peak.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 15, 2026, 9:55 PM ET
Volume
$1,606Data de Término
17 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 15, 2026, 9:55 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and TimeandDate indicate a daytime maximum near 29–30°C for São Paulo on August 17, reflecting typical late-winter subtropical conditions with ample solar insolation under partly cloudy skies, light winds, and low humidity around 50–60%. This positions the market’s closely bunched probabilities for 29°C, 30°C, and 31°C as a reflection of remaining uncertainty in peak afternoon heating, urban heat-island effects, and minor differences among ensemble runs. Historical August averages near 23–25°C provide context for the current warmer anomaly, while resolution hinges on official INMET observations of the daily high. Updated model guidance on cloud cover or any approaching frontal boundary could shift the tight consensus before tomorrow’s peak.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,606Data de Término
17 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 15, 2026, 9:55 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and TimeandDate indicate a daytime maximum near 29–30°C for São Paulo on August 17, reflecting typical late-winter subtropical conditions with ample solar insolation under partly cloudy skies, light winds, and low humidity around 50–60%. This positions the market’s closely bunched probabilities for 29°C, 30°C, and 31°C as a reflection of remaining uncertainty in peak afternoon heating, urban heat-island effects, and minor differences among ensemble runs. Historical August averages near 23–25°C provide context for the current warmer anomaly, while resolution hinges on official INMET observations of the daily high. Updated model guidance on cloud cover or any approaching frontal boundary could shift the tight consensus before tomorrow’s peak.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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