Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and timeanddate indicate Istanbul’s August 23 high will likely fall between 29–32°C under continued high-pressure dominance and moderate northerly Etesian winds that limit extreme heating. Ensemble model spreads remain narrow because of stable subsidence and consistent sea-breeze moderation from the Bosphorus and Marmara, keeping daily maxima close to the long-term August average of 28–30°C. Minor differences among 27–29°C outcomes hinge on small timing variations in cloud cover or wind speed during peak afternoon hours, while probabilities drop sharply above 30°C absent a clear warm advection signal. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Istambul no dia 23 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Istambul no dia 23 de agosto?
28°C 37%
27°C 28%
29°C 21%
26°C 10%
NOVO
NOVO
23 ago 2026
23°C or below
4%
24°C
6%
25°C
<1%
26°C
10%
27°C
28%
28°C
37%
29°C
21%
30°C
4%
31°C
4%
32°C
6%
33°C or higher
3%
28°C 37%
27°C 28%
29°C 21%
26°C 10%
NOVO
NOVO
23 ago 2026
23°C or below
$20 Vol.
4%
24°C
$20 Vol.
6%
25°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$7 Vol.
10%
27°C
$64 Vol.
28%
28°C
$8 Vol.
37%
29°C
$0 Vol.
21%
30°C
$0 Vol.
4%
31°C
$0 Vol.
4%
32°C
$20 Vol.
6%
33°C or higher
$20 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and timeanddate indicate Istanbul’s August 23 high will likely fall between 29–32°C under continued high-pressure dominance and moderate northerly Etesian winds that limit extreme heating. Ensemble model spreads remain narrow because of stable subsidence and consistent sea-breeze moderation from the Bosphorus and Marmara, keeping daily maxima close to the long-term August average of 28–30°C. Minor differences among 27–29°C outcomes hinge on small timing variations in cloud cover or wind speed during peak afternoon hours, while probabilities drop sharply above 30°C absent a clear warm advection signal. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$179Data de Término
23 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and timeanddate indicate Istanbul’s August 23 high will likely fall between 29–32°C under continued high-pressure dominance and moderate northerly Etesian winds that limit extreme heating. Ensemble model spreads remain narrow because of stable subsidence and consistent sea-breeze moderation from the Bosphorus and Marmara, keeping daily maxima close to the long-term August average of 28–30°C. Minor differences among 27–29°C outcomes hinge on small timing variations in cloud cover or wind speed during peak afternoon hours, while probabilities drop sharply above 30°C absent a clear warm advection signal. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$179Data de Término
23 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and timeanddate indicate Istanbul’s August 23 high will likely fall between 29–32°C under continued high-pressure dominance and moderate northerly Etesian winds that limit extreme heating. Ensemble model spreads remain narrow because of stable subsidence and consistent sea-breeze moderation from the Bosphorus and Marmara, keeping daily maxima close to the long-term August average of 28–30°C. Minor differences among 27–29°C outcomes hinge on small timing variations in cloud cover or wind speed during peak afternoon hours, while probabilities drop sharply above 30°C absent a clear warm advection signal. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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