Current short-term forecasts from agencies like the UK Met Office and timeanddate.com project a daytime high near 27–30°C (81–86°F) for Istanbul on August 22 under predominantly sunny conditions with light northerly winds, consistent with typical late-summer Mediterranean patterns and recent stable high-pressure influence over the region. These projections place the most likely peak temperature in the 27–28°C range, aligning with the market-implied probabilities of 48.5% and 26.5% respectively, while cooler or hotter outliers remain lower-probability scenarios. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability through the weekend, with no major frontal systems or heat-wave signals indicated in the latest runs. Updated forecasts ahead of resolution will refine exact maximum readings measured at official stations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Istambul em 22 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Istambul em 22 de agosto?
27°C 49%
28°C 26%
26°C 17%
29°C 10%
NOVO
NOVO
22 ago 2026
23°C or below
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
8%
26°C
17%
27°C
49%
28°C
26%
29°C
10%
30°C
8%
31°C
1%
32°C
6%
33°C or higher
5%
27°C 49%
28°C 26%
26°C 17%
29°C 10%
NOVO
NOVO
22 ago 2026
23°C or below
$5 Vol.
2%
24°C
$5 Vol.
4%
25°C
$0 Vol.
8%
26°C
$0 Vol.
17%
27°C
$10 Vol.
49%
28°C
$0 Vol.
26%
29°C
$0 Vol.
10%
30°C
$22 Vol.
8%
31°C
$27 Vol.
1%
32°C
$5 Vol.
6%
33°C or higher
$5 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecasts from agencies like the UK Met Office and timeanddate.com project a daytime high near 27–30°C (81–86°F) for Istanbul on August 22 under predominantly sunny conditions with light northerly winds, consistent with typical late-summer Mediterranean patterns and recent stable high-pressure influence over the region. These projections place the most likely peak temperature in the 27–28°C range, aligning with the market-implied probabilities of 48.5% and 26.5% respectively, while cooler or hotter outliers remain lower-probability scenarios. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability through the weekend, with no major frontal systems or heat-wave signals indicated in the latest runs. Updated forecasts ahead of resolution will refine exact maximum readings measured at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$78Data de Término
22 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecasts from agencies like the UK Met Office and timeanddate.com project a daytime high near 27–30°C (81–86°F) for Istanbul on August 22 under predominantly sunny conditions with light northerly winds, consistent with typical late-summer Mediterranean patterns and recent stable high-pressure influence over the region. These projections place the most likely peak temperature in the 27–28°C range, aligning with the market-implied probabilities of 48.5% and 26.5% respectively, while cooler or hotter outliers remain lower-probability scenarios. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability through the weekend, with no major frontal systems or heat-wave signals indicated in the latest runs. Updated forecasts ahead of resolution will refine exact maximum readings measured at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$78Data de Término
22 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-term forecasts from agencies like the UK Met Office and timeanddate.com project a daytime high near 27–30°C (81–86°F) for Istanbul on August 22 under predominantly sunny conditions with light northerly winds, consistent with typical late-summer Mediterranean patterns and recent stable high-pressure influence over the region. These projections place the most likely peak temperature in the 27–28°C range, aligning with the market-implied probabilities of 48.5% and 26.5% respectively, while cooler or hotter outliers remain lower-probability scenarios. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability through the weekend, with no major frontal systems or heat-wave signals indicated in the latest runs. Updated forecasts ahead of resolution will refine exact maximum readings measured at official stations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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