Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies place Shanghai’s maximum temperature on August 20 near 30–31 °C, with ensemble models showing modest spread driven by uncertain cloud cover and scattered shower timing. Subtropical high pressure and residual monsoon moisture are expected to limit strong daytime heating while increasing humidity and the chance of convective clouds that cap afternoon peaks. Small shifts in steering flow or precipitation onset can easily swing the observed high by 1 °C, keeping market-implied odds nearly even between the two leading outcomes. Historical late-August climatology shows daily maxima averaging near 31 °C, but short-range model runs will refine the exact threshold ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Xangai em 20 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Xangai em 20 de agosto?
30°C 36%
31°C 34%
32°C 14%
29°C 12%
NOVO
NOVO
20 ago 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
12%
30°C
36%
31°C
34%
32°C
14%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 36%
31°C 34%
32°C 14%
29°C 12%
NOVO
NOVO
20 ago 2026
25°C or below
$280 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$145 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$183 Vol.
1%
28°C
$91 Vol.
4%
29°C
$142 Vol.
12%
30°C
$363 Vol.
36%
31°C
$94 Vol.
34%
32°C
$98 Vol.
14%
33°C
$39 Vol.
2%
34°C
$18 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$12 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies place Shanghai’s maximum temperature on August 20 near 30–31 °C, with ensemble models showing modest spread driven by uncertain cloud cover and scattered shower timing. Subtropical high pressure and residual monsoon moisture are expected to limit strong daytime heating while increasing humidity and the chance of convective clouds that cap afternoon peaks. Small shifts in steering flow or precipitation onset can easily swing the observed high by 1 °C, keeping market-implied odds nearly even between the two leading outcomes. Historical late-August climatology shows daily maxima averaging near 31 °C, but short-range model runs will refine the exact threshold ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,465Data de Término
20 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies place Shanghai’s maximum temperature on August 20 near 30–31 °C, with ensemble models showing modest spread driven by uncertain cloud cover and scattered shower timing. Subtropical high pressure and residual monsoon moisture are expected to limit strong daytime heating while increasing humidity and the chance of convective clouds that cap afternoon peaks. Small shifts in steering flow or precipitation onset can easily swing the observed high by 1 °C, keeping market-implied odds nearly even between the two leading outcomes. Historical late-August climatology shows daily maxima averaging near 31 °C, but short-range model runs will refine the exact threshold ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,465Data de Término
20 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies place Shanghai’s maximum temperature on August 20 near 30–31 °C, with ensemble models showing modest spread driven by uncertain cloud cover and scattered shower timing. Subtropical high pressure and residual monsoon moisture are expected to limit strong daytime heating while increasing humidity and the chance of convective clouds that cap afternoon peaks. Small shifts in steering flow or precipitation onset can easily swing the observed high by 1 °C, keeping market-implied odds nearly even between the two leading outcomes. Historical late-August climatology shows daily maxima averaging near 31 °C, but short-range model runs will refine the exact threshold ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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