Recent official forecasts from MetService and the UK Met Office indicate a daytime maximum of 10–11°C for Wellington on August 18, supported by persistent southerly winds and cooler polar air masses that have kept recent highs near or below seasonal averages. NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures across the region, consistent with typical mid-winter conditions where August daily maxima average around 12°C. Model consensus and current observations of cold, showery weather have concentrated trader positioning on the 11°C and 12°C outcomes, with any northward shift in high-pressure systems or reduced wind speeds the main variables that could push readings higher before final resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Wellington em 18 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Wellington em 18 de agosto?
11°C 44%
12°C 30%
10°C 14%
13°C 5%
NOVO
NOVO
18 ago 2026
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
3%
9°C
4%
10°C
14%
11°C
44%
12°C
30%
13°C
5%
14°C
2%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
11°C 44%
12°C 30%
10°C 14%
13°C 5%
NOVO
NOVO
18 ago 2026
6°C or below
$181 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$181 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$15 Vol.
3%
9°C
$5 Vol.
4%
10°C
$34 Vol.
14%
11°C
$31 Vol.
44%
12°C
$885 Vol.
30%
13°C
$100 Vol.
5%
14°C
$7 Vol.
2%
15°C
$105 Vol.
<1%
16°C or higher
$105 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from MetService and the UK Met Office indicate a daytime maximum of 10–11°C for Wellington on August 18, supported by persistent southerly winds and cooler polar air masses that have kept recent highs near or below seasonal averages. NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures across the region, consistent with typical mid-winter conditions where August daily maxima average around 12°C. Model consensus and current observations of cold, showery weather have concentrated trader positioning on the 11°C and 12°C outcomes, with any northward shift in high-pressure systems or reduced wind speeds the main variables that could push readings higher before final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,649Data de Término
18 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from MetService and the UK Met Office indicate a daytime maximum of 10–11°C for Wellington on August 18, supported by persistent southerly winds and cooler polar air masses that have kept recent highs near or below seasonal averages. NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures across the region, consistent with typical mid-winter conditions where August daily maxima average around 12°C. Model consensus and current observations of cold, showery weather have concentrated trader positioning on the 11°C and 12°C outcomes, with any northward shift in high-pressure systems or reduced wind speeds the main variables that could push readings higher before final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,649Data de Término
18 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from MetService and the UK Met Office indicate a daytime maximum of 10–11°C for Wellington on August 18, supported by persistent southerly winds and cooler polar air masses that have kept recent highs near or below seasonal averages. NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures across the region, consistent with typical mid-winter conditions where August daily maxima average around 12°C. Model consensus and current observations of cold, showery weather have concentrated trader positioning on the 11°C and 12°C outcomes, with any northward shift in high-pressure systems or reduced wind speeds the main variables that could push readings higher before final resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions