Latest ensemble guidance from AEMET, ECMWF, and GFS shows Madrid under weakening high pressure with southwesterly flow at 10–15 km/h, yielding a forecast maximum of 30–31°C on August 20. This follows hotter conditions earlier in the week driven by a subtropical ridge and warm advection, with the shift introducing modest Atlantic moderation while skies remain mostly clear for strong diurnal heating. Small differences among 30–32°C outcomes hinge on precise timing of peak insolation, boundary-layer mixing depth, and any thin afternoon cumulus that could trim surface temperatures by 1–2°C. Madrid’s urban heat island and plateau elevation amplify daytime maxima relative to surrounding areas, keeping trader focus tightly clustered around the 31°C bin as models converge on this narrow range ahead of the daily observation at Retiro.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Madrid a 20 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Madrid a 20 de agosto?
31°C 38%
32°C 32%
30°C 15%
33°C 7%
NOVO
NOVO
20 ago 2026
28°C or below
2%
29°C
6%
30°C
15%
31°C
38%
32°C
32%
33°C
7%
34°C
3%
35°C
6%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
31°C 38%
32°C 32%
30°C 15%
33°C 7%
NOVO
NOVO
20 ago 2026
28°C or below
$9 Vol.
2%
29°C
$3 Vol.
6%
30°C
$0 Vol.
15%
31°C
$108 Vol.
38%
32°C
$194 Vol.
32%
33°C
$104 Vol.
7%
34°C
$10 Vol.
3%
35°C
$303 Vol.
6%
36°C
$65 Vol.
1%
37°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$129 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble guidance from AEMET, ECMWF, and GFS shows Madrid under weakening high pressure with southwesterly flow at 10–15 km/h, yielding a forecast maximum of 30–31°C on August 20. This follows hotter conditions earlier in the week driven by a subtropical ridge and warm advection, with the shift introducing modest Atlantic moderation while skies remain mostly clear for strong diurnal heating. Small differences among 30–32°C outcomes hinge on precise timing of peak insolation, boundary-layer mixing depth, and any thin afternoon cumulus that could trim surface temperatures by 1–2°C. Madrid’s urban heat island and plateau elevation amplify daytime maxima relative to surrounding areas, keeping trader focus tightly clustered around the 31°C bin as models converge on this narrow range ahead of the daily observation at Retiro.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$939Data de Término
20 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble guidance from AEMET, ECMWF, and GFS shows Madrid under weakening high pressure with southwesterly flow at 10–15 km/h, yielding a forecast maximum of 30–31°C on August 20. This follows hotter conditions earlier in the week driven by a subtropical ridge and warm advection, with the shift introducing modest Atlantic moderation while skies remain mostly clear for strong diurnal heating. Small differences among 30–32°C outcomes hinge on precise timing of peak insolation, boundary-layer mixing depth, and any thin afternoon cumulus that could trim surface temperatures by 1–2°C. Madrid’s urban heat island and plateau elevation amplify daytime maxima relative to surrounding areas, keeping trader focus tightly clustered around the 31°C bin as models converge on this narrow range ahead of the daily observation at Retiro.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$939Data de Término
20 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble guidance from AEMET, ECMWF, and GFS shows Madrid under weakening high pressure with southwesterly flow at 10–15 km/h, yielding a forecast maximum of 30–31°C on August 20. This follows hotter conditions earlier in the week driven by a subtropical ridge and warm advection, with the shift introducing modest Atlantic moderation while skies remain mostly clear for strong diurnal heating. Small differences among 30–32°C outcomes hinge on precise timing of peak insolation, boundary-layer mixing depth, and any thin afternoon cumulus that could trim surface temperatures by 1–2°C. Madrid’s urban heat island and plateau elevation amplify daytime maxima relative to surrounding areas, keeping trader focus tightly clustered around the 31°C bin as models converge on this narrow range ahead of the daily observation at Retiro.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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