Recent short-range forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC place Warsaw’s August 20 maximum near 23–24 °C under light cloud and gentle south-westerly flow, keeping the market tightly split between those two outcomes. Subtle differences hinge on predicted daytime cloud fraction and boundary-layer mixing: reduced insolation or stronger onshore advection would cap the peak at 23 °C, while clearer skies and modest warm-air advection could push readings to 24–25 °C. Ensemble spread in the latest model cycles remains modest, reflecting limited synoptic forcing and typical late-summer variability for the region. Updated 48-hour model runs and observational data on Thursday morning will narrow the final range ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Varsóvia em 20 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Varsóvia em 20 de agosto?
24°C 33%
23°C 31%
25°C or higher 23%
22°C 4%
NOVO
NOVO
20 ago 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
9%
23°C
31%
24°C
33%
25°C or higher
23%
24°C 33%
23°C 31%
25°C or higher 23%
22°C 4%
NOVO
NOVO
20 ago 2026
15°C or below
$186 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$186 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$181 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$286 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$28 Vol.
1%
20°C
$13 Vol.
1%
21°C
$4 Vol.
4%
22°C
$49 Vol.
9%
23°C
$31 Vol.
31%
24°C
$73 Vol.
33%
25°C or higher
$87 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC place Warsaw’s August 20 maximum near 23–24 °C under light cloud and gentle south-westerly flow, keeping the market tightly split between those two outcomes. Subtle differences hinge on predicted daytime cloud fraction and boundary-layer mixing: reduced insolation or stronger onshore advection would cap the peak at 23 °C, while clearer skies and modest warm-air advection could push readings to 24–25 °C. Ensemble spread in the latest model cycles remains modest, reflecting limited synoptic forcing and typical late-summer variability for the region. Updated 48-hour model runs and observational data on Thursday morning will narrow the final range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$1,123Data de Término
20 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC place Warsaw’s August 20 maximum near 23–24 °C under light cloud and gentle south-westerly flow, keeping the market tightly split between those two outcomes. Subtle differences hinge on predicted daytime cloud fraction and boundary-layer mixing: reduced insolation or stronger onshore advection would cap the peak at 23 °C, while clearer skies and modest warm-air advection could push readings to 24–25 °C. Ensemble spread in the latest model cycles remains modest, reflecting limited synoptic forcing and typical late-summer variability for the region. Updated 48-hour model runs and observational data on Thursday morning will narrow the final range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,123Data de Término
20 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC place Warsaw’s August 20 maximum near 23–24 °C under light cloud and gentle south-westerly flow, keeping the market tightly split between those two outcomes. Subtle differences hinge on predicted daytime cloud fraction and boundary-layer mixing: reduced insolation or stronger onshore advection would cap the peak at 23 °C, while clearer skies and modest warm-air advection could push readings to 24–25 °C. Ensemble spread in the latest model cycles remains modest, reflecting limited synoptic forcing and typical late-summer variability for the region. Updated 48-hour model runs and observational data on Thursday morning will narrow the final range ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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