Recent model runs indicate a shift toward cooler Atlantic air and unsettled conditions across northern France, with cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate southwesterly winds limiting overnight radiative cooling for Paris on August 28. These factors support minimum temperatures clustered around 16–17 °C as the most probable outcomes, consistent with the tight market spread between those levels. Stronger winds or persistent rain would suppress the low by mixing the boundary layer and reducing clear-sky cooling, while clearer breaks could allow readings nearer 15 °C. Conversely, delayed frontal passage or lighter winds might keep the minimum closer to 18–19 °C. ECMWF and GFS updates over the next 48 hours will refine timing of any showers and wind strength, directly influencing which threshold resolves. Historical late-August averages near 13.6 °C provide context, but the current synoptic pattern favors above-normal minima.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Paris em 28 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Paris em 28 de agosto?
17°C 43%
16°C 37%
18°C 18%
15°C 17%
NOVO
NOVO
28 ago 2026
12°C ou menos
5%
13°C
10%
14°C
16%
15°C
17%
16°C
37%
17°C
43%
18°C
18%
19°C
16%
20°C
16%
21°C
7%
22°C ou mais
10%
17°C 43%
16°C 37%
18°C 18%
15°C 17%
NOVO
NOVO
28 ago 2026
12°C ou menos
$22 Vol.
5%
13°C
$0 Vol.
10%
14°C
$0 Vol.
16%
15°C
$0 Vol.
17%
16°C
$0 Vol.
37%
17°C
$0 Vol.
43%
18°C
$0 Vol.
18%
19°C
$0 Vol.
16%
20°C
$0 Vol.
16%
21°C
$10 Vol.
7%
22°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs indicate a shift toward cooler Atlantic air and unsettled conditions across northern France, with cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate southwesterly winds limiting overnight radiative cooling for Paris on August 28. These factors support minimum temperatures clustered around 16–17 °C as the most probable outcomes, consistent with the tight market spread between those levels. Stronger winds or persistent rain would suppress the low by mixing the boundary layer and reducing clear-sky cooling, while clearer breaks could allow readings nearer 15 °C. Conversely, delayed frontal passage or lighter winds might keep the minimum closer to 18–19 °C. ECMWF and GFS updates over the next 48 hours will refine timing of any showers and wind strength, directly influencing which threshold resolves. Historical late-August averages near 13.6 °C provide context, but the current synoptic pattern favors above-normal minima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$32Data de Término
28 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs indicate a shift toward cooler Atlantic air and unsettled conditions across northern France, with cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate southwesterly winds limiting overnight radiative cooling for Paris on August 28. These factors support minimum temperatures clustered around 16–17 °C as the most probable outcomes, consistent with the tight market spread between those levels. Stronger winds or persistent rain would suppress the low by mixing the boundary layer and reducing clear-sky cooling, while clearer breaks could allow readings nearer 15 °C. Conversely, delayed frontal passage or lighter winds might keep the minimum closer to 18–19 °C. ECMWF and GFS updates over the next 48 hours will refine timing of any showers and wind strength, directly influencing which threshold resolves. Historical late-August averages near 13.6 °C provide context, but the current synoptic pattern favors above-normal minima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$32Data de Término
28 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs indicate a shift toward cooler Atlantic air and unsettled conditions across northern France, with cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate southwesterly winds limiting overnight radiative cooling for Paris on August 28. These factors support minimum temperatures clustered around 16–17 °C as the most probable outcomes, consistent with the tight market spread between those levels. Stronger winds or persistent rain would suppress the low by mixing the boundary layer and reducing clear-sky cooling, while clearer breaks could allow readings nearer 15 °C. Conversely, delayed frontal passage or lighter winds might keep the minimum closer to 18–19 °C. ECMWF and GFS updates over the next 48 hours will refine timing of any showers and wind strength, directly influencing which threshold resolves. Historical late-August averages near 13.6 °C provide context, but the current synoptic pattern favors above-normal minima.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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