Recent warm air advection under a subtropical high-pressure ridge has elevated overnight temperatures across São Paulo, with official model guidance from sources like GFS and ECMWF pointing to a minimum near 19–22 °C on August 30. Differences in predicted nocturnal cloud cover, boundary-layer humidity, and light southeasterly wind shifts create modest uncertainty in radiative cooling efficiency, keeping 17 °C-or-below and 18 °C outcomes tightly matched near 44 %. Historical August climatology shows typical lows of 12–15 °C, so the current warm anomaly narrows the window for colder realizations while traders weigh the timing of any approaching frontal boundary.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em São Paulo no dia 30 de agosto?
27°C ou mais 66%
26°C 54%
25°C 52%
17°C ou menos 44%
17°C ou menos
44%
18°C
43%
19°C
42%
20°C
37%
21°C
37%
22°C
7%
23°C
6%
24°C
28%
25°C
52%
26°C
54%
27°C ou mais
66%
27°C ou mais 66%
26°C 54%
25°C 52%
17°C ou menos 44%
17°C ou menos
44%
18°C
43%
19°C
42%
20°C
37%
21°C
37%
22°C
7%
23°C
6%
24°C
28%
25°C
52%
26°C
54%
27°C ou mais
66%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent warm air advection under a subtropical high-pressure ridge has elevated overnight temperatures across São Paulo, with official model guidance from sources like GFS and ECMWF pointing to a minimum near 19–22 °C on August 30. Differences in predicted nocturnal cloud cover, boundary-layer humidity, and light southeasterly wind shifts create modest uncertainty in radiative cooling efficiency, keeping 17 °C-or-below and 18 °C outcomes tightly matched near 44 %. Historical August climatology shows typical lows of 12–15 °C, so the current warm anomaly narrows the window for colder realizations while traders weigh the timing of any approaching frontal boundary.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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