Current forecast models from MetService and international ensembles show Wellington's minimum temperature on August 30 clustering near 9–11 °C, driven by clear skies promoting radiative cooling overnight under moderate northwesterly winds that limit extreme drops through mixing. Stronger gusts and a mild preceding period—temperatures running above the 10.3 °C August climatological norm—support the tight market spread between 11 °C and 10 °C outcomes. Lower probabilities for 7–8 °C reflect limited potential for greater cooling if winds weaken or cloud cover increases slightly, while model consensus and historical analogs for late-winter clear nights keep sub-7 °C odds minimal ahead of final overnight observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Wellington em 30 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Wellington em 30 de agosto?
7°C 80%
8°C 80%
10°C 42%
9°C 5%
NOVO
NOVO
30 ago 2026
6°C or below
2%
7°C
80%
8°C
80%
9°C
5%
10°C
42%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
7°C 80%
8°C 80%
10°C 42%
9°C 5%
NOVO
NOVO
30 ago 2026
6°C or below
$5 Vol.
2%
7°C
$0 Vol.
80%
8°C
$10 Vol.
80%
9°C
$106 Vol.
5%
10°C
$0 Vol.
42%
11°C
$135 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$30 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$40 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$145 Vol.
<1%
16°C or higher
$351 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from MetService and international ensembles show Wellington's minimum temperature on August 30 clustering near 9–11 °C, driven by clear skies promoting radiative cooling overnight under moderate northwesterly winds that limit extreme drops through mixing. Stronger gusts and a mild preceding period—temperatures running above the 10.3 °C August climatological norm—support the tight market spread between 11 °C and 10 °C outcomes. Lower probabilities for 7–8 °C reflect limited potential for greater cooling if winds weaken or cloud cover increases slightly, while model consensus and historical analogs for late-winter clear nights keep sub-7 °C odds minimal ahead of final overnight observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$837Data de Término
30 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from MetService and international ensembles show Wellington's minimum temperature on August 30 clustering near 9–11 °C, driven by clear skies promoting radiative cooling overnight under moderate northwesterly winds that limit extreme drops through mixing. Stronger gusts and a mild preceding period—temperatures running above the 10.3 °C August climatological norm—support the tight market spread between 11 °C and 10 °C outcomes. Lower probabilities for 7–8 °C reflect limited potential for greater cooling if winds weaken or cloud cover increases slightly, while model consensus and historical analogs for late-winter clear nights keep sub-7 °C odds minimal ahead of final overnight observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$837Data de Término
30 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from MetService and international ensembles show Wellington's minimum temperature on August 30 clustering near 9–11 °C, driven by clear skies promoting radiative cooling overnight under moderate northwesterly winds that limit extreme drops through mixing. Stronger gusts and a mild preceding period—temperatures running above the 10.3 °C August climatological norm—support the tight market spread between 11 °C and 10 °C outcomes. Lower probabilities for 7–8 °C reflect limited potential for greater cooling if winds weaken or cloud cover increases slightly, while model consensus and historical analogs for late-winter clear nights keep sub-7 °C odds minimal ahead of final overnight observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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