Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate a peak temperature in Milan on August 29 near 29–30 °C under predominantly clear to partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow, driving the tight market split between those two outcomes. Daytime radiative heating will peak in the early afternoon, modulated by low humidity levels around 50 % and minimal cloud interference that could allow brief excursions above 30 °C in urban stations. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on precise boundary-layer mixing, potential for scattered high clouds, and microscale variations captured by higher-resolution runs versus coarser global ensembles. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours, including any adjustments to steering patterns or insolation, will likely narrow the implied probability distribution before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Milão no dia 29 de agosto?
30°C 39%
29°C 33%
31°C 13%
28°C 10%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
5%
28°C
10%
29°C
33%
30°C
39%
31°C
13%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
2%
30°C 39%
29°C 33%
31°C 13%
28°C 10%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
5%
28°C
10%
29°C
33%
30°C
39%
31°C
13%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate a peak temperature in Milan on August 29 near 29–30 °C under predominantly clear to partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow, driving the tight market split between those two outcomes. Daytime radiative heating will peak in the early afternoon, modulated by low humidity levels around 50 % and minimal cloud interference that could allow brief excursions above 30 °C in urban stations. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on precise boundary-layer mixing, potential for scattered high clouds, and microscale variations captured by higher-resolution runs versus coarser global ensembles. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours, including any adjustments to steering patterns or insolation, will likely narrow the implied probability distribution before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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