**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Ankara on August 27 centers on 32°C and 33°C as near-equally favored outcomes (41% and 40.5% implied probability), reflecting tight clustering in short-range guidance.** Official Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) forecasts and international models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate clear skies and light northerly winds persisting under a stable late-summer anticyclone, supporting peak readings near the long-term August average of 31–32°C at stations like Esenboğa. Minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing and afternoon insolation create the narrow spread separating 32°C from 33°C, with limited potential for 34°C if subsidence strengthens. Recent days have shown similar conditions resolving at 31–32°C, keeping the market tightly balanced ahead of final observations on the 27th.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Ancara em 27 de agosto?
33°C 42%
32°C 39%
34°C 15%
31°C 7%
28°C or below
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
1%
31°C
7%
32°C
39%
33°C
42%
34°C
15%
35°C
6%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 42%
32°C 39%
34°C 15%
31°C 7%
28°C or below
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
1%
31°C
7%
32°C
39%
33°C
42%
34°C
15%
35°C
6%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Ankara on August 27 centers on 32°C and 33°C as near-equally favored outcomes (41% and 40.5% implied probability), reflecting tight clustering in short-range guidance.** Official Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) forecasts and international models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate clear skies and light northerly winds persisting under a stable late-summer anticyclone, supporting peak readings near the long-term August average of 31–32°C at stations like Esenboğa. Minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing and afternoon insolation create the narrow spread separating 32°C from 33°C, with limited potential for 34°C if subsidence strengthens. Recent days have shown similar conditions resolving at 31–32°C, keeping the market tightly balanced ahead of final observations on the 27th.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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