Current forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate overnight lows in Tel Aviv near 25–26°C on September 2, driven by typical early-September Mediterranean conditions with light northwesterly winds, high humidity near 70–80%, and minimal cloud cover allowing moderate radiative cooling overnight. Official guidance shows daytime peaks around 31–32°C under stable high pressure, with sea surface temperatures near 28°C moderating minimums and limiting deeper drops. Historical September lows average 22–24°C, but persistent warm advection keeps readings elevated this year. The closely matched market-implied odds around 25–26°C reflect minor model spreads in exact timing of the daily minimum and measurement criteria, while lower probabilities below 23°C align with the absence of cooler air intrusions or stronger winds that could enhance cooling. Updated observations through the evening will refine resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Tel Aviv no dia 2 de setembro?
22°C 88%
21°C 44.8%
19°C or below 2%
20°C <1%
19°C or below
2%
20°C
<1%
21°C
45%
22°C
88%
23°C
-
24°C
-
25°C
50%
26°C
54%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
22°C 88%
21°C 44.8%
19°C or below 2%
20°C <1%
19°C or below
2%
20°C
<1%
21°C
45%
22°C
88%
23°C
-
24°C
-
25°C
50%
26°C
54%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate overnight lows in Tel Aviv near 25–26°C on September 2, driven by typical early-September Mediterranean conditions with light northwesterly winds, high humidity near 70–80%, and minimal cloud cover allowing moderate radiative cooling overnight. Official guidance shows daytime peaks around 31–32°C under stable high pressure, with sea surface temperatures near 28°C moderating minimums and limiting deeper drops. Historical September lows average 22–24°C, but persistent warm advection keeps readings elevated this year. The closely matched market-implied odds around 25–26°C reflect minor model spreads in exact timing of the daily minimum and measurement criteria, while lower probabilities below 23°C align with the absence of cooler air intrusions or stronger winds that could enhance cooling. Updated observations through the evening will refine resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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