Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high around 28–30°C for Paris on September 4, driven by southwesterly flow advecting milder air under partly cloudy skies with moderate winds. This setup supports the tight market clustering at 28°C and 29°C, as small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and daytime insolation can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Above the 23°C seasonal average, the outcome hinges on limited model spread in GFS and ECMWF guidance through the next 48 hours, with traders weighting the latest runs showing stable high pressure but variable afternoon heating potential.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 4 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 4 de setembro?
29°C 38%
28°C 34%
30°C 11%
27°C 9%
NOVO
NOVO
4 set 2026
24°C ou menos
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
7%
27°C
9%
28°C
34%
29°C
38%
30°C
11%
31°C
5%
32°C
4%
33°C
2%
34°C ou mais
1%
29°C 38%
28°C 34%
30°C 11%
27°C 9%
NOVO
NOVO
4 set 2026
24°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
1%
26°C
$35 Vol.
7%
27°C
$30 Vol.
9%
28°C
$143 Vol.
34%
29°C
$484 Vol.
38%
30°C
$39 Vol.
11%
31°C
$45 Vol.
5%
32°C
$513 Vol.
4%
33°C
$0 Vol.
2%
34°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high around 28–30°C for Paris on September 4, driven by southwesterly flow advecting milder air under partly cloudy skies with moderate winds. This setup supports the tight market clustering at 28°C and 29°C, as small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and daytime insolation can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Above the 23°C seasonal average, the outcome hinges on limited model spread in GFS and ECMWF guidance through the next 48 hours, with traders weighting the latest runs showing stable high pressure but variable afternoon heating potential.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 2, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$1,288Data de Término
4 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 2, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high around 28–30°C for Paris on September 4, driven by southwesterly flow advecting milder air under partly cloudy skies with moderate winds. This setup supports the tight market clustering at 28°C and 29°C, as small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and daytime insolation can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Above the 23°C seasonal average, the outcome hinges on limited model spread in GFS and ECMWF guidance through the next 48 hours, with traders weighting the latest runs showing stable high pressure but variable afternoon heating potential.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,288Data de Término
4 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 2, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high around 28–30°C for Paris on September 4, driven by southwesterly flow advecting milder air under partly cloudy skies with moderate winds. This setup supports the tight market clustering at 28°C and 29°C, as small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and daytime insolation can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Above the 23°C seasonal average, the outcome hinges on limited model spread in GFS and ECMWF guidance through the next 48 hours, with traders weighting the latest runs showing stable high pressure but variable afternoon heating potential.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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