Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a sharp cooldown in São Paulo driven by a strong southerly flow and associated cloud cover and precipitation, keeping daytime maxima near 14–15 °C on September 6. This pattern, confirmed in official guidance from agencies tracking regional pressure gradients and moisture advection, represents a significant departure from early-September climatology of roughly 23 °C. Model consensus favors a peak no higher than 15–16 °C, with limited upward revision expected before the daily maximum is recorded. Traders have therefore concentrated implied probability on 15–17 °C outcomes, reflecting both the current forecast envelope and the narrow resolution window for official station readings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em São Paulo no dia 6 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em São Paulo no dia 6 de setembro?
16°C 44%
17°C 26%
15°C 20%
18°C 7%
NOVO
NOVO
6 set 2026
13°C ou menos
2%
14°C
5%
15°C
20%
16°C
44%
17°C
26%
18°C
7%
19°C
3%
20°C
2%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C ou mais
<1%
16°C 44%
17°C 26%
15°C 20%
18°C 7%
NOVO
NOVO
6 set 2026
13°C ou menos
$407 Vol.
2%
14°C
$327 Vol.
5%
15°C
$754 Vol.
20%
16°C
$428 Vol.
44%
17°C
$1,073 Vol.
26%
18°C
$919 Vol.
7%
19°C
$151 Vol.
3%
20°C
$159 Vol.
2%
21°C
$615 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,223 Vol.
<1%
23°C ou mais
$1,135 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a sharp cooldown in São Paulo driven by a strong southerly flow and associated cloud cover and precipitation, keeping daytime maxima near 14–15 °C on September 6. This pattern, confirmed in official guidance from agencies tracking regional pressure gradients and moisture advection, represents a significant departure from early-September climatology of roughly 23 °C. Model consensus favors a peak no higher than 15–16 °C, with limited upward revision expected before the daily maximum is recorded. Traders have therefore concentrated implied probability on 15–17 °C outcomes, reflecting both the current forecast envelope and the narrow resolution window for official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 4, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Volume
$7,191Data de Término
6 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 4, 2026, 8:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a sharp cooldown in São Paulo driven by a strong southerly flow and associated cloud cover and precipitation, keeping daytime maxima near 14–15 °C on September 6. This pattern, confirmed in official guidance from agencies tracking regional pressure gradients and moisture advection, represents a significant departure from early-September climatology of roughly 23 °C. Model consensus favors a peak no higher than 15–16 °C, with limited upward revision expected before the daily maximum is recorded. Traders have therefore concentrated implied probability on 15–17 °C outcomes, reflecting both the current forecast envelope and the narrow resolution window for official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,191Data de Término
6 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 4, 2026, 8:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a sharp cooldown in São Paulo driven by a strong southerly flow and associated cloud cover and precipitation, keeping daytime maxima near 14–15 °C on September 6. This pattern, confirmed in official guidance from agencies tracking regional pressure gradients and moisture advection, represents a significant departure from early-September climatology of roughly 23 °C. Model consensus favors a peak no higher than 15–16 °C, with limited upward revision expected before the daily maximum is recorded. Traders have therefore concentrated implied probability on 15–17 °C outcomes, reflecting both the current forecast envelope and the narrow resolution window for official station readings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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