Magnus Carlsen enters the Esports World Cup Chess Finals in Paris as defending champion and recent winner of the Chess.com Open and TePe Sigeman events, giving traders the clearest signal of current form in a 22-player field featuring rapid 10+0 time controls and double-elimination brackets. His 55.5% implied probability reflects that edge, yet the market remains bunched because qualifiers via the Champions Chess Tour, Speed Chess Championship, and last-chance events have produced a deep group including Nakamura, Firouzja, Abdusattorov, Lazavik, and Esipenko, each with proven head-to-head records and recent CCT points. Group-stage play-ins and short matches amplify variance, keeping multiple contenders within striking distance through the August 11–15 schedule.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoDenis Lazavik 37%
Hikaru Nakamura 37%
Alireza Firouzja 26%
Aleksej Sarana 26%
Denis Lazavik
37%
Hikaru Nakamura
37%
Alireza Firouzja
26%
Aleksej Sarana
26%
Andrey Esipenko
26%
Nihal Sarin
26%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
26%
Hans Moke Niemann
26%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
26%
Arjun Erigaisi
26%
Pranesh Munirethinam
26%
Sina Movahed
26%
Benjamin Bok
26%
Wei Yi
26%
Jan-Krzysztof Duda
26%
Magnus Carlsen
20%
Denis Lazavik 37%
Hikaru Nakamura 37%
Alireza Firouzja 26%
Aleksej Sarana 26%
Denis Lazavik
37%
Hikaru Nakamura
37%
Alireza Firouzja
26%
Aleksej Sarana
26%
Andrey Esipenko
26%
Nihal Sarin
26%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
26%
Hans Moke Niemann
26%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
26%
Arjun Erigaisi
26%
Pranesh Munirethinam
26%
Sina Movahed
26%
Benjamin Bok
26%
Wei Yi
26%
Jan-Krzysztof Duda
26%
Magnus Carlsen
20%
If this tournament is postponed after August 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, the Esports World Cup (https://esportsworldcup.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 11, 2026, 6:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If this tournament is postponed after August 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, the Esports World Cup (https://esportsworldcup.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Magnus Carlsen enters the Esports World Cup Chess Finals in Paris as defending champion and recent winner of the Chess.com Open and TePe Sigeman events, giving traders the clearest signal of current form in a 22-player field featuring rapid 10+0 time controls and double-elimination brackets. His 55.5% implied probability reflects that edge, yet the market remains bunched because qualifiers via the Champions Chess Tour, Speed Chess Championship, and last-chance events have produced a deep group including Nakamura, Firouzja, Abdusattorov, Lazavik, and Esipenko, each with proven head-to-head records and recent CCT points. Group-stage play-ins and short matches amplify variance, keeping multiple contenders within striking distance through the August 11–15 schedule.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado



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