Magnus Carlsen leads trader consensus at 20% implied probability for the August 18 Titled Tuesday due to his strong recent form, including a 9.5/11 victory in the August 4 edition ahead of Arjun Erigaisi and Hikaru Nakamura. Carlsen's elite rapid rating, consistent performance in Chess.com online events, and status as Esports World Cup defending champion give him an edge in a massive field of titled players. Nakamura trails at 12% on the strength of his unmatched historical dominance, with 93 prior wins in the weekly rapid format. The wide distribution of probabilities across dozens of grandmasters reflects the event's inherent volatility, where tiebreaks, recent activity levels, and stylistic matchups often determine outcomes in single-day Swiss-system play.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoMagnus Carlsen 35%
Hikaru Nakamura 26%
Fabiano Caruana 9%
Wesley So 9%
Magnus Carlsen
21%
Hikaru Nakamura
21%
Fabiano Caruana
9%
Wesley So
9%
Ding Liren
9%
Brandon Jacobson
9%
Tuomas Turunen
9%
Javokhir Sindarov
9%
Levon Aronian
9%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
9%
Sam Sevian
9%
Volen Dyulgerov
9%
Vincent Keymer
9%
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave
9%
Dincer Tasdogen
5%
Faustino Oro
5%
Frederik Svane
5%
Arjun Erigaisi
5%
Denis Lazavik
5%
Sina Movahed
5%
Aleksandar Indjic
5%
Cristobal Henriquez Villagra
5%
Yoseph Theolifus Taher
5%
Gukesh Dommaraju
5%
Wei Yi
5%
Vladimir Fedoseev
5%
Christopher Yoo
5%
Awonder Liang
5%
Andrew Tang
5%
Aravindh Chithambaram
5%
Aleksei Sarana
5%
Benjamin Bok
5%
Bogdan-Daniel Deac
5%
Dmitry Andreikin
5%
David Anton
5%
Dau Khuong Duy
5%
Hans Niemann
5%
Haowen Xue
5%
Jose Martinez
5%
Jeffery Xiong
5%
Matthias Bluebaum
5%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
5%
Renato Terry Lujan
5%
Rudik Makarian
5%
Rasmus Svane
5%
Sergey Sklokin
5%
Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei
5%
Shamsiddin Vokhidov
5%
Vladislav Artemiev
5%
Haik Martirosyan
5%
Nihal Sarin
5%
Oleksandr Bortnyk
5%
Alireza Firouzja
5%
Alexander Grischuk
5%
Aleksandr Shimanov
5%
Zhamsaran Tsydypov
5%
Andrey Esipenko
5%
Bardiya Daneshvar
5%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
5%
Jan-Krzysztof Duda
5%
Jules Moussard
5%
Le Tuan Minh
5%
Pranav Venkatesh
5%
Nikolas Theodorou
5%
Parham Maghsoodloo
5%
Pranesh Munirethinam
5%
Magnus Carlsen 35%
Hikaru Nakamura 26%
Fabiano Caruana 9%
Wesley So 9%
Magnus Carlsen
21%
Hikaru Nakamura
21%
Fabiano Caruana
9%
Wesley So
9%
Ding Liren
9%
Brandon Jacobson
9%
Tuomas Turunen
9%
Javokhir Sindarov
9%
Levon Aronian
9%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
9%
Sam Sevian
9%
Volen Dyulgerov
9%
Vincent Keymer
9%
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave
9%
Dincer Tasdogen
5%
Faustino Oro
5%
Frederik Svane
5%
Arjun Erigaisi
5%
Denis Lazavik
5%
Sina Movahed
5%
Aleksandar Indjic
5%
Cristobal Henriquez Villagra
5%
Yoseph Theolifus Taher
5%
Gukesh Dommaraju
5%
Wei Yi
5%
Vladimir Fedoseev
5%
Christopher Yoo
5%
Awonder Liang
5%
Andrew Tang
5%
Aravindh Chithambaram
5%
Aleksei Sarana
5%
Benjamin Bok
5%
Bogdan-Daniel Deac
5%
Dmitry Andreikin
5%
David Anton
5%
Dau Khuong Duy
5%
Hans Niemann
5%
Haowen Xue
5%
Jose Martinez
5%
Jeffery Xiong
5%
Matthias Bluebaum
5%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
5%
Renato Terry Lujan
5%
Rudik Makarian
5%
Rasmus Svane
5%
Sergey Sklokin
5%
Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei
5%
Shamsiddin Vokhidov
5%
Vladislav Artemiev
5%
Haik Martirosyan
5%
Nihal Sarin
5%
Oleksandr Bortnyk
5%
Alireza Firouzja
5%
Alexander Grischuk
5%
Aleksandr Shimanov
5%
Zhamsaran Tsydypov
5%
Andrey Esipenko
5%
Bardiya Daneshvar
5%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
5%
Jan-Krzysztof Duda
5%
Jules Moussard
5%
Le Tuan Minh
5%
Pranav Venkatesh
5%
Nikolas Theodorou
5%
Parham Maghsoodloo
5%
Pranesh Munirethinam
5%
If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If this tournament is postponed after September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitzResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If this tournament is postponed after September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Magnus Carlsen leads trader consensus at 20% implied probability for the August 18 Titled Tuesday due to his strong recent form, including a 9.5/11 victory in the August 4 edition ahead of Arjun Erigaisi and Hikaru Nakamura. Carlsen's elite rapid rating, consistent performance in Chess.com online events, and status as Esports World Cup defending champion give him an edge in a massive field of titled players. Nakamura trails at 12% on the strength of his unmatched historical dominance, with 93 prior wins in the weekly rapid format. The wide distribution of probabilities across dozens of grandmasters reflects the event's inherent volatility, where tiebreaks, recent activity levels, and stylistic matchups often determine outcomes in single-day Swiss-system play.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions