Mercedes leads the 2026 F1 Constructors' Championship with 262 points after seven rounds, well ahead of Ferrari on 190 and McLaren on 141, driving the 83.5% implied probability in trader consensus. The team's strong adaptation to the new power unit and active aerodynamics regulations has produced consistent front-running pace, highlighted by double podiums and victories for drivers Kimi Antonelli and George Russell. Ferrari remains the clearest challenger but trails significantly in points and recent form, while McLaren and Red Bull have fallen further behind amid reliability and setup challenges. With roughly half the season remaining, Mercedes' substantial gap and proven reliability position it as the clear frontrunner among prediction market participants.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoMercedes 84%
Ferrari 9.4%
McLaren 2.5%
Red Bull Racing 1.1%
$24,363,148 Vol.
$24,363,148 Vol.
6 dez 2026
Mercedes
84%
Ferrari
9%
McLaren
2%
Red Bull Racing
1%
Aston Martin
1%
Haas
1%
Williams
<1%
Audi
<1%
Cadillac
<1%
Racing Bulls
<1%
Alpine
<1%
Mercedes 84%
Ferrari 9.4%
McLaren 2.5%
Red Bull Racing 1.1%
$24,363,148 Vol.
$24,363,148 Vol.
6 dez 2026
Mercedes
$776,700 Vol.
84%
Ferrari
$473,353 Vol.
9%
McLaren
$1,568,866 Vol.
2%
Red Bull Racing
$665,161 Vol.
1%
Aston Martin
$2,758,420 Vol.
1%
Haas
$2,945,093 Vol.
1%
Williams
$3,337,393 Vol.
<1%
Audi
$2,779,568 Vol.
<1%
Cadillac
$3,319,072 Vol.
<1%
Racing Bulls
$2,758,065 Vol.
<1%
Alpine
$2,981,513 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.Mercedes leads the 2026 F1 Constructors' Championship with 262 points after seven rounds, well ahead of Ferrari on 190 and McLaren on 141, driving the 83.5% implied probability in trader consensus. The team's strong adaptation to the new power unit and active aerodynamics regulations has produced consistent front-running pace, highlighted by double podiums and victories for drivers Kimi Antonelli and George Russell. Ferrari remains the clearest challenger but trails significantly in points and recent form, while McLaren and Red Bull have fallen further behind amid reliability and setup challenges. With roughly half the season remaining, Mercedes' substantial gap and proven reliability position it as the clear frontrunner among prediction market participants.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Volume
$24,363,148Data de Término
6 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.Mercedes leads the 2026 F1 Constructors' Championship with 262 points after seven rounds, well ahead of Ferrari on 190 and McLaren on 141, driving the 83.5% implied probability in trader consensus. The team's strong adaptation to the new power unit and active aerodynamics regulations has produced consistent front-running pace, highlighted by double podiums and victories for drivers Kimi Antonelli and George Russell. Ferrari remains the clearest challenger but trails significantly in points and recent form, while McLaren and Red Bull have fallen further behind amid reliability and setup challenges. With roughly half the season remaining, Mercedes' substantial gap and proven reliability position it as the clear frontrunner among prediction market participants.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Volume
$24,363,148Data de Término
6 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes leads the 2026 F1 Constructors' Championship with 262 points after seven rounds, well ahead of Ferrari on 190 and McLaren on 141, driving the 83.5% implied probability in trader consensus. The team's strong adaptation to the new power unit and active aerodynamics regulations has produced consistent front-running pace, highlighted by double podiums and victories for drivers Kimi Antonelli and George Russell. Ferrari remains the clearest challenger but trails significantly in points and recent form, while McLaren and Red Bull have fallen further behind amid reliability and setup challenges. With roughly half the season remaining, Mercedes' substantial gap and proven reliability position it as the clear frontrunner among prediction market participants.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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