Mercedes' commanding lead in the 2026 F1 Constructors' Championship, with 135 points after three Grands Prix, drives trader consensus at 77.5% implied probability, fueled by the W17's superior power unit and energy management under new hybrid regulations, securing poles and victories in Australia, China, and Japan via Kimi Antonelli and George Russell. Ferrari trails at 90 points (11.5% odds) as the closest challenger, showing SF-26 pace but hampered by strategic errors like the Australian virtual safety car blunder, while McLaren's 46 points (7.3%) reflect Oscar Piastri's Japanese podium amid recovery efforts. Red Bull languishes at 1.6% due to RB22 struggles; rivals eye Miami upgrades, but Mercedes' engine edge persists until Monaco's compression ratio fix, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in pricing a long-season title fight.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoMercedes 78%
Ferrari 12%
McLaren 7.3%
Red Bull Racing 1.6%
$14,280,210 Vol.
$14,280,210 Vol.

Mercedes
78%

Ferrari
12%

McLaren
7%

Red Bull Racing
2%

Racing Bulls
<1%

Haas
<1%

Alpine
<1%

Williams
<1%

Aston Martin
<1%

Audi
<1%

Cadillac
<1%
Mercedes 78%
Ferrari 12%
McLaren 7.3%
Red Bull Racing 1.6%
$14,280,210 Vol.
$14,280,210 Vol.

Mercedes
78%

Ferrari
12%

McLaren
7%

Red Bull Racing
2%

Racing Bulls
<1%

Haas
<1%

Alpine
<1%

Williams
<1%

Aston Martin
<1%

Audi
<1%

Cadillac
<1%
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes' commanding lead in the 2026 F1 Constructors' Championship, with 135 points after three Grands Prix, drives trader consensus at 77.5% implied probability, fueled by the W17's superior power unit and energy management under new hybrid regulations, securing poles and victories in Australia, China, and Japan via Kimi Antonelli and George Russell. Ferrari trails at 90 points (11.5% odds) as the closest challenger, showing SF-26 pace but hampered by strategic errors like the Australian virtual safety car blunder, while McLaren's 46 points (7.3%) reflect Oscar Piastri's Japanese podium amid recovery efforts. Red Bull languishes at 1.6% due to RB22 struggles; rivals eye Miami upgrades, but Mercedes' engine edge persists until Monaco's compression ratio fix, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in pricing a long-season title fight.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions