Max Verstappen’s long-term Red Bull contract through 2028, combined with his May 2026 confirmation that he intends to remain in Formula 1 rather than take a sabbatical or retire, underpins the strong market consensus against a 2026 exit. Performance-related exit clauses could theoretically allow departure after this season if results falter, yet recent on-track form—including a second-place finish at the Hungarian Grand Prix—and team efforts to improve the car have eased immediate concerns. Earlier frustration with 2026 regulations and a difficult start to the campaign fueled speculation in March, but updated statements and continued competition have since anchored trader expectations that Verstappen will complete the year and likely extend his career.