**Trader consensus on the Polymarket points strongly to A100 GPU rental prices landing in the $1.00–$1.25 per hour range by end of October 2026, with 60.5% implied probability.** Current on-demand rates from providers like Jarvislabs sit near $0.89–$1.00, spot/interruptible capacity starts around $0.68–$0.75 on Azure and Vast.ai marketplaces, and medians across neoclouds and hyperscalers range from $1.36 to $1.95 depending on configuration and commitment length. Persistent demand for A100s in cost-sensitive inference, fine-tuning, and agentic AI workloads underpins this positioning, as CUDA optimizations sustain viability even against newer Hopper and Blackwell chips. Competitive pressure from marketplace platforms keeps rates from spiking, while hyperscaler on-demand premiums and limited new A100 supply additions provide a floor. Recent volatility included sharp June–July gains in some PCIe variants, but August data shows stabilization around the $1 mark amid steady utilization. Key upcoming factors include seasonal AI training cycles and any Blackwell capacity ramp, though no major supply surges or demand shocks appear imminent within the next two months. The tight clustering of probabilities around $0.75–$1.50 reflects this balanced supply-demand dynamic rather than a clear directional catalyst.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoPreços de aluguer de GPU (A100) no final de outubro?
$1.00-$1.25 61%
$0.75-$1.00 19%
$1.25-$1.50 14%
$1.50+ 1.4%
$11,636 Vol.
$11,636 Vol.
<$0.50
<1%
$0.50-$0.75
<1%
$0.75-$1.00
19%
$1.00-$1.25
61%
$1.25-$1.50
14%
$1.50+
1%
$1.00-$1.25 61%
$0.75-$1.00 19%
$1.25-$1.50 14%
$1.50+ 1.4%
$11,636 Vol.
$11,636 Vol.
<$0.50
<1%
$0.50-$0.75
<1%
$0.75-$1.00
19%
$1.00-$1.25
61%
$1.25-$1.50
14%
$1.50+
1%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the A100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 11, 2026, 7:30 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the A100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on the Polymarket points strongly to A100 GPU rental prices landing in the $1.00–$1.25 per hour range by end of October 2026, with 60.5% implied probability.** Current on-demand rates from providers like Jarvislabs sit near $0.89–$1.00, spot/interruptible capacity starts around $0.68–$0.75 on Azure and Vast.ai marketplaces, and medians across neoclouds and hyperscalers range from $1.36 to $1.95 depending on configuration and commitment length. Persistent demand for A100s in cost-sensitive inference, fine-tuning, and agentic AI workloads underpins this positioning, as CUDA optimizations sustain viability even against newer Hopper and Blackwell chips. Competitive pressure from marketplace platforms keeps rates from spiking, while hyperscaler on-demand premiums and limited new A100 supply additions provide a floor. Recent volatility included sharp June–July gains in some PCIe variants, but August data shows stabilization around the $1 mark amid steady utilization. Key upcoming factors include seasonal AI training cycles and any Blackwell capacity ramp, though no major supply surges or demand shocks appear imminent within the next two months. The tight clustering of probabilities around $0.75–$1.50 reflects this balanced supply-demand dynamic rather than a clear directional catalyst.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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