Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate Ankara will experience clear skies and light winds on August 3 under a persistent high-pressure ridge, supporting daytime radiative heating that favors a maximum near 33°C. This aligns closely with the long-term August climatological average of 31–32°C for the region’s continental climate, where temperatures have shown no significant deviation from seasonal norms in the latest observational data. Market-implied odds, with 33°C leading at 46.5% and adjacent values at 32°C and 34°C collectively exceeding 80%, reflect trader assessment of model consensus while acknowledging typical forecast spread of ±1–2°C from variables like boundary-layer moisture and minor advection changes. Updated model runs and official Turkish State Meteorological Service briefings in the next 48 hours will provide the primary resolution signals.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Ancara no dia 3 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Ancara no dia 3 de agosto?
33°C 47%
34°C 22%
32°C 20%
31°C 6%
NOVO
NOVO
3 ago 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
6%
32°C
20%
33°C
47%
34°C
22%
35°C
3%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 47%
34°C 22%
32°C 20%
31°C 6%
NOVO
NOVO
3 ago 2026
28°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$144 Vol.
1%
30°C
$49 Vol.
3%
31°C
$0 Vol.
6%
32°C
$53 Vol.
20%
33°C
$119 Vol.
47%
34°C
$255 Vol.
22%
35°C
$11 Vol.
3%
36°C
$21 Vol.
2%
37°C
$20 Vol.
2%
38°C or higher
$20 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate Ankara will experience clear skies and light winds on August 3 under a persistent high-pressure ridge, supporting daytime radiative heating that favors a maximum near 33°C. This aligns closely with the long-term August climatological average of 31–32°C for the region’s continental climate, where temperatures have shown no significant deviation from seasonal norms in the latest observational data. Market-implied odds, with 33°C leading at 46.5% and adjacent values at 32°C and 34°C collectively exceeding 80%, reflect trader assessment of model consensus while acknowledging typical forecast spread of ±1–2°C from variables like boundary-layer moisture and minor advection changes. Updated model runs and official Turkish State Meteorological Service briefings in the next 48 hours will provide the primary resolution signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$692Data de Término
3 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate Ankara will experience clear skies and light winds on August 3 under a persistent high-pressure ridge, supporting daytime radiative heating that favors a maximum near 33°C. This aligns closely with the long-term August climatological average of 31–32°C for the region’s continental climate, where temperatures have shown no significant deviation from seasonal norms in the latest observational data. Market-implied odds, with 33°C leading at 46.5% and adjacent values at 32°C and 34°C collectively exceeding 80%, reflect trader assessment of model consensus while acknowledging typical forecast spread of ±1–2°C from variables like boundary-layer moisture and minor advection changes. Updated model runs and official Turkish State Meteorological Service briefings in the next 48 hours will provide the primary resolution signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$692Data de Término
3 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate Ankara will experience clear skies and light winds on August 3 under a persistent high-pressure ridge, supporting daytime radiative heating that favors a maximum near 33°C. This aligns closely with the long-term August climatological average of 31–32°C for the region’s continental climate, where temperatures have shown no significant deviation from seasonal norms in the latest observational data. Market-implied odds, with 33°C leading at 46.5% and adjacent values at 32°C and 34°C collectively exceeding 80%, reflect trader assessment of model consensus while acknowledging typical forecast spread of ±1–2°C from variables like boundary-layer moisture and minor advection changes. Updated model runs and official Turkish State Meteorological Service briefings in the next 48 hours will provide the primary resolution signals.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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