**Current numerical weather prediction models, including consensus runs from ECMWF and GFS, along with real-time surface observations from Turkish meteorological stations, support a maximum temperature of 29°C in Ankara on June 16, 2026.** Stable high-pressure conditions, minimal cloud cover, and light southerly flow have allowed efficient daytime heating without significant convective interference, aligning the forecast tightly with this value. Historical June climatology for central Anatolia places typical maxima in the 26–29°C range, providing additional context for the tight market consensus. Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome include unexpected afternoon cloud build-up, a stronger-than-forecast northerly wind component, or revisions in post-processed observational data from the official reporting station, though these remain low-probability given the current model agreement.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Ankara on June 16?
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$51,277 Vol.
$51,277 Vol.
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$51,277 Vol.
$51,277 Vol.
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
**Current numerical weather prediction models, including consensus runs from ECMWF and GFS, along with real-time surface observations from Turkish meteorological stations, support a maximum temperature of 29°C in Ankara on June 16, 2026.** Stable high-pressure conditions, minimal cloud cover, and light southerly flow have allowed efficient daytime heating without significant convective interference, aligning the forecast tightly with this value. Historical June climatology for central Anatolia places typical maxima in the 26–29°C range, providing additional context for the tight market consensus. Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome include unexpected afternoon cloud build-up, a stronger-than-forecast northerly wind component, or revisions in post-processed observational data from the official reporting station, though these remain low-probability given the current model agreement.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions