Recent ensemble forecasts from global models show Beijing's July 26 peak temperature most likely falling between 31–33°C, reflecting tight clustering around these outcomes amid modest forecast spread. Subtropical high pressure and lingering East Asian summer monsoon influences are sustaining warm, humid conditions, while variable convective cloud cover and possible early thunderstorms could limit daytime heating or enhance it through subsidence. Urban heat island effects and boundary-layer mixing add local uncertainty, with slight model disagreements on precipitation timing keeping 32°C narrowly ahead. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Pequim em 26 de julho?
Temperatura mais alta em Pequim em 26 de julho?
33°C 28%
34°C 28%
32°C 22%
31°C 12%
NOVO
NOVO
26 jul 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
7%
31°C
12%
32°C
22%
33°C
28%
34°C
28%
35°C
6%
36°C or higher
1%
33°C 28%
34°C 28%
32°C 22%
31°C 12%
NOVO
NOVO
26 jul 2026
26°C or below
$351 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$119 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$44 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$411 Vol.
3%
30°C
$153 Vol.
7%
31°C
$107 Vol.
12%
32°C
$128 Vol.
22%
33°C
$145 Vol.
28%
34°C
$527 Vol.
28%
35°C
$96 Vol.
6%
36°C or higher
$41 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models show Beijing's July 26 peak temperature most likely falling between 31–33°C, reflecting tight clustering around these outcomes amid modest forecast spread. Subtropical high pressure and lingering East Asian summer monsoon influences are sustaining warm, humid conditions, while variable convective cloud cover and possible early thunderstorms could limit daytime heating or enhance it through subsidence. Urban heat island effects and boundary-layer mixing add local uncertainty, with slight model disagreements on precipitation timing keeping 32°C narrowly ahead. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 24, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$2,122Data de Término
26 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 24, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models show Beijing's July 26 peak temperature most likely falling between 31–33°C, reflecting tight clustering around these outcomes amid modest forecast spread. Subtropical high pressure and lingering East Asian summer monsoon influences are sustaining warm, humid conditions, while variable convective cloud cover and possible early thunderstorms could limit daytime heating or enhance it through subsidence. Urban heat island effects and boundary-layer mixing add local uncertainty, with slight model disagreements on precipitation timing keeping 32°C narrowly ahead. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,122Data de Término
26 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 24, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global models show Beijing's July 26 peak temperature most likely falling between 31–33°C, reflecting tight clustering around these outcomes amid modest forecast spread. Subtropical high pressure and lingering East Asian summer monsoon influences are sustaining warm, humid conditions, while variable convective cloud cover and possible early thunderstorms could limit daytime heating or enhance it through subsidence. Urban heat island effects and boundary-layer mixing add local uncertainty, with slight model disagreements on precipitation timing keeping 32°C narrowly ahead. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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