Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 20°C (35.5%) and 21°C (31.0%) for Cape Town's highest temperature on April 15, reflecting uncertainty in short-range forecasts amid morning coastal fog and partly cloudy conditions per the South African Weather Service (SAWS). SAWS projects a 19°C maximum with lows near 16°C, cooled by southerly winds and persistent low clouds, down from today's forecasted 23°C high—a shift driven by an incoming cool air mass over the Western Cape. Blended models like AccuWeather imply 20-21°C (RealFeel ~22°C partly sunny), highlighting model spread on fog burn-off and cloud persistence influenced by Table Mountain orographics. Ensemble disagreement persists; overnight updates and early April 15 observations from Cape Town International Airport will sharpen resolution criteria before the daily maximum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Cape Town on April 15?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on April 15?
21°C 34%
20°C 33%
19°C 20%
22°C 17%
$16,623 Vol.
$16,623 Vol.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
6%
19°C
20%
20°C
33%
21°C
34%
22°C
17%
23°C
9%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
1%
21°C 34%
20°C 33%
19°C 20%
22°C 17%
$16,623 Vol.
$16,623 Vol.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
6%
19°C
20%
20°C
33%
21°C
34%
22°C
17%
23°C
9%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 13, 2026, 12:47 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 20°C (35.5%) and 21°C (31.0%) for Cape Town's highest temperature on April 15, reflecting uncertainty in short-range forecasts amid morning coastal fog and partly cloudy conditions per the South African Weather Service (SAWS). SAWS projects a 19°C maximum with lows near 16°C, cooled by southerly winds and persistent low clouds, down from today's forecasted 23°C high—a shift driven by an incoming cool air mass over the Western Cape. Blended models like AccuWeather imply 20-21°C (RealFeel ~22°C partly sunny), highlighting model spread on fog burn-off and cloud persistence influenced by Table Mountain orographics. Ensemble disagreement persists; overnight updates and early April 15 observations from Cape Town International Airport will sharpen resolution criteria before the daily maximum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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