Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model guidance points to a high of 73–75°F in Chicago on August 23, driven by northwesterly flow advecting cooler air and moderating influence from Lake Michigan. This setup favors the market's leading 74–75°F bin at 46% implied probability, with 76–77°F close behind at 34.5% reflecting minor ensemble spread. Historical August normals near 82°F underscore how current conditions deviate cooler, while afternoon peak timing and any late-day clearing remain key variables. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings ahead of resolution will refine these trader-assessed odds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Chicago em 23 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Chicago em 23 de agosto?
74-75°F 49%
76-77°F 35%
72-73°F 9%
78-79°F 7%
NOVO
NOVO
23 ago 2026
65°F ou menos
<1%
66-67°F
1%
20-21°C
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
49%
76-77°F
35%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F ou mais
<1%
74-75°F 49%
76-77°F 35%
72-73°F 9%
78-79°F 7%
NOVO
NOVO
23 ago 2026
65°F ou menos
$213 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$175 Vol.
1%
20-21°C
$213 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$163 Vol.
2%
72-73°F
$408 Vol.
9%
74-75°F
$660 Vol.
49%
76-77°F
$359 Vol.
35%
78-79°F
$467 Vol.
7%
80-81°F
$219 Vol.
2%
82-83°F
$115 Vol.
<1%
84°F ou mais
$117 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model guidance points to a high of 73–75°F in Chicago on August 23, driven by northwesterly flow advecting cooler air and moderating influence from Lake Michigan. This setup favors the market's leading 74–75°F bin at 46% implied probability, with 76–77°F close behind at 34.5% reflecting minor ensemble spread. Historical August normals near 82°F underscore how current conditions deviate cooler, while afternoon peak timing and any late-day clearing remain key variables. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings ahead of resolution will refine these trader-assessed odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Volume
$3,112Data de Término
23 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model guidance points to a high of 73–75°F in Chicago on August 23, driven by northwesterly flow advecting cooler air and moderating influence from Lake Michigan. This setup favors the market's leading 74–75°F bin at 46% implied probability, with 76–77°F close behind at 34.5% reflecting minor ensemble spread. Historical August normals near 82°F underscore how current conditions deviate cooler, while afternoon peak timing and any late-day clearing remain key variables. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings ahead of resolution will refine these trader-assessed odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,112Data de Término
23 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model guidance points to a high of 73–75°F in Chicago on August 23, driven by northwesterly flow advecting cooler air and moderating influence from Lake Michigan. This setup favors the market's leading 74–75°F bin at 46% implied probability, with 76–77°F close behind at 34.5% reflecting minor ensemble spread. Historical August normals near 82°F underscore how current conditions deviate cooler, while afternoon peak timing and any late-day clearing remain key variables. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings ahead of resolution will refine these trader-assessed odds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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