Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a building ridge of high pressure and southerly flow advecting warmer air into the Chicago area, positioning 96–97 °F as the most probable daily maximum at official stations. Ensemble forecasts cluster in the mid- to upper-90s, with modest spread arising from uncertainties in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact wind speeds on the 15th. Historical July normals near 85 °F underscore the anomalous warmth, while the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 94–99 °F reflects trader assessment of these short-range model differences and the limited time remaining before observations finalize the outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Chicago em 15 de julho?
Temperatura mais alta em Chicago em 15 de julho?
94-95°F 100.0%
89°F ou menos <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$108,550 Vol.
$108,550 Vol.
15 jul 2026
89°F ou menos
Não
90-91°F
Não
92-93°F
Não
94-95°F
Sim
96-97°F
Não
98-99°F
Não
100-101°F
Não
102-103°F
Não
104-105°F
Não
41-42°C
Não
108°F ou mais
Não
94-95°F 100.0%
89°F ou menos <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$108,550 Vol.
$108,550 Vol.
15 jul 2026
89°F ou menos
$15,505 Vol.
Não
90-91°F
$11,904 Vol.
Não
92-93°F
$34,433 Vol.
Não
94-95°F
$12,923 Vol.
Sim
96-97°F
$16,130 Vol.
Não
98-99°F
$6,991 Vol.
Não
100-101°F
$4,644 Vol.
Não
102-103°F
$3,158 Vol.
Não
104-105°F
$1,944 Vol.
Não
41-42°C
$667 Vol.
Não
108°F ou mais
$251 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a building ridge of high pressure and southerly flow advecting warmer air into the Chicago area, positioning 96–97 °F as the most probable daily maximum at official stations. Ensemble forecasts cluster in the mid- to upper-90s, with modest spread arising from uncertainties in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact wind speeds on the 15th. Historical July normals near 85 °F underscore the anomalous warmth, while the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 94–99 °F reflects trader assessment of these short-range model differences and the limited time remaining before observations finalize the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 13, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
Volume
$108,550Data de Término
15 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 13, 2026, 10:02 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a building ridge of high pressure and southerly flow advecting warmer air into the Chicago area, positioning 96–97 °F as the most probable daily maximum at official stations. Ensemble forecasts cluster in the mid- to upper-90s, with modest spread arising from uncertainties in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact wind speeds on the 15th. Historical July normals near 85 °F underscore the anomalous warmth, while the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 94–99 °F reflects trader assessment of these short-range model differences and the limited time remaining before observations finalize the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$108,550Data de Término
15 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 13, 2026, 10:02 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a building ridge of high pressure and southerly flow advecting warmer air into the Chicago area, positioning 96–97 °F as the most probable daily maximum at official stations. Ensemble forecasts cluster in the mid- to upper-90s, with modest spread arising from uncertainties in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact wind speeds on the 15th. Historical July normals near 85 °F underscore the anomalous warmth, while the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 94–99 °F reflects trader assessment of these short-range model differences and the limited time remaining before observations finalize the outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions