Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate above-normal temperatures for late June 2026, with daily highs expected near 32–34°C on the 25th amid developing El Niño conditions that enhance regional warmth. Afternoon convection, cloud cover, and sea breezes typical of the summer monsoon often cap peak readings, while clear periods allow greater diurnal heating. Historical June averages hover around 31–32°C, but the seasonal outlook favors warmer anomalies. Traders see 32°C and 33°C as the tightest outcomes because short-term model runs show limited spread, with resolution hinging on exact cloud timing and wind patterns over the next 48 hours.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on June 25?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 25?
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$199,102 Vol.
$199,102 Vol.
25 jun 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
Não
30°C
Não
31°C
Não
32°C
Sim
33°C
Não
34°C
Não
35°C
Não
36°C
Não
37°C ou mais
Não
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$199,102 Vol.
$199,102 Vol.
25 jun 2026
27°C or below
$1,048 Vol.
No
28°C
$1,224 Vol.
No
29°C
$646 Vol.
Não
30°C
$11,096 Vol.
Não
31°C
$16,975 Vol.
Não
32°C
$71,180 Vol.
Sim
33°C
$56,439 Vol.
Não
34°C
$28,165 Vol.
Não
35°C
$8,720 Vol.
Não
36°C
$3,149 Vol.
Não
37°C ou mais
$460 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate above-normal temperatures for late June 2026, with daily highs expected near 32–34°C on the 25th amid developing El Niño conditions that enhance regional warmth. Afternoon convection, cloud cover, and sea breezes typical of the summer monsoon often cap peak readings, while clear periods allow greater diurnal heating. Historical June averages hover around 31–32°C, but the seasonal outlook favors warmer anomalies. Traders see 32°C and 33°C as the tightest outcomes because short-term model runs show limited spread, with resolution hinging on exact cloud timing and wind patterns over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 23, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$199,102Data de Término
25 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 23, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate above-normal temperatures for late June 2026, with daily highs expected near 32–34°C on the 25th amid developing El Niño conditions that enhance regional warmth. Afternoon convection, cloud cover, and sea breezes typical of the summer monsoon often cap peak readings, while clear periods allow greater diurnal heating. Historical June averages hover around 31–32°C, but the seasonal outlook favors warmer anomalies. Traders see 32°C and 33°C as the tightest outcomes because short-term model runs show limited spread, with resolution hinging on exact cloud timing and wind patterns over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$199,102Data de Término
25 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 23, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate above-normal temperatures for late June 2026, with daily highs expected near 32–34°C on the 25th amid developing El Niño conditions that enhance regional warmth. Afternoon convection, cloud cover, and sea breezes typical of the summer monsoon often cap peak readings, while clear periods allow greater diurnal heating. Historical June averages hover around 31–32°C, but the seasonal outlook favors warmer anomalies. Traders see 32°C and 33°C as the tightest outcomes because short-term model runs show limited spread, with resolution hinging on exact cloud timing and wind patterns over the next 48 hours.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions