**Short-term forecast uncertainty around the seasonal average drives the tight clustering of implied probabilities near 32–34°C for Kuala Lumpur’s July 31 daily maximum.** Kuala Lumpur’s southwest monsoon climatology typically produces afternoon highs of 31–33°C, with the urban heat island and high humidity pushing readings toward the upper end on clearer days. Recent model guidance and the July 27 outcome of exactly 33°C illustrate how modest differences in morning cloud cover, timing of convective showers, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Strengthening El Niño conditions have raised the regional temperature baseline and reduced rainfall likelihood, tilting the distribution slightly above the long-term July mean of ~33°C, yet the market’s near-even split between 33°C (29.5%) and 34°C (27.5%) reflects residual uncertainty in the final 48-hour convective evolution. Official short-range updates from MetMalaysia and global ensembles will determine whether the peak settles in the lower or upper half of the narrow 32–34°C window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Kuala Lumpur em 31 de julho?
Temperatura mais alta em Kuala Lumpur em 31 de julho?
33°C 39%
32°C 26%
34°C 19%
31°C 8%
NOVO
NOVO
31 jul 2026
28°C ou menos
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
8%
32°C
26%
33°C
39%
34°C
19%
35°C
2%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C ou mais
<1%
33°C 39%
32°C 26%
34°C 19%
31°C 8%
NOVO
NOVO
31 jul 2026
28°C ou menos
$133 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$299 Vol.
2%
30°C
$65 Vol.
4%
31°C
$128 Vol.
8%
32°C
$60 Vol.
26%
33°C
$219 Vol.
39%
34°C
$196 Vol.
19%
35°C
$735 Vol.
2%
36°C
$271 Vol.
2%
37°C
$32 Vol.
1%
38°C ou mais
$319 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Short-term forecast uncertainty around the seasonal average drives the tight clustering of implied probabilities near 32–34°C for Kuala Lumpur’s July 31 daily maximum.**
Kuala Lumpur’s southwest monsoon climatology typically produces afternoon highs of 31–33°C, with the urban heat island and high humidity pushing readings toward the upper end on clearer days. Recent model guidance and the July 27 outcome of exactly 33°C illustrate how modest differences in morning cloud cover, timing of convective showers, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Strengthening El Niño conditions have raised the regional temperature baseline and reduced rainfall likelihood, tilting the distribution slightly above the long-term July mean of ~33°C, yet the market’s near-even split between 33°C (29.5%) and 34°C (27.5%) reflects residual uncertainty in the final 48-hour convective evolution. Official short-range updates from MetMalaysia and global ensembles will determine whether the peak settles in the lower or upper half of the narrow 32–34°C window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 29, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$2,457Data de Término
31 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 29, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Short-term forecast uncertainty around the seasonal average drives the tight clustering of implied probabilities near 32–34°C for Kuala Lumpur’s July 31 daily maximum.**
Kuala Lumpur’s southwest monsoon climatology typically produces afternoon highs of 31–33°C, with the urban heat island and high humidity pushing readings toward the upper end on clearer days. Recent model guidance and the July 27 outcome of exactly 33°C illustrate how modest differences in morning cloud cover, timing of convective showers, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Strengthening El Niño conditions have raised the regional temperature baseline and reduced rainfall likelihood, tilting the distribution slightly above the long-term July mean of ~33°C, yet the market’s near-even split between 33°C (29.5%) and 34°C (27.5%) reflects residual uncertainty in the final 48-hour convective evolution. Official short-range updates from MetMalaysia and global ensembles will determine whether the peak settles in the lower or upper half of the narrow 32–34°C window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,457Data de Término
31 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 29, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKKResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Short-term forecast uncertainty around the seasonal average drives the tight clustering of implied probabilities near 32–34°C for Kuala Lumpur’s July 31 daily maximum.** Kuala Lumpur’s southwest monsoon climatology typically produces afternoon highs of 31–33°C, with the urban heat island and high humidity pushing readings toward the upper end on clearer days. Recent model guidance and the July 27 outcome of exactly 33°C illustrate how modest differences in morning cloud cover, timing of convective showers, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Strengthening El Niño conditions have raised the regional temperature baseline and reduced rainfall likelihood, tilting the distribution slightly above the long-term July mean of ~33°C, yet the market’s near-even split between 33°C (29.5%) and 34°C (27.5%) reflects residual uncertainty in the final 48-hour convective evolution. Official short-range updates from MetMalaysia and global ensembles will determine whether the peak settles in the lower or upper half of the narrow 32–34°C window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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