Latest Met Office guidance projects a maximum of 32°C in London on August 12 under sunny skies and light easterly winds associated with high pressure, while BBC and other models cluster around 31°C. These conditions favor strong daytime heating with minimal cloud cover or precipitation to suppress temperatures. Market-implied odds, led by 31°C at 39.5% followed by 30°C and 32°C, align closely with this consensus from official agencies, reflecting traders' assessment of model agreement on peak values near the upper end of seasonal norms. Minor forecast adjustments from evolving high-pressure positioning or urban heat-island effects at official stations could still shift the exact reading within the narrow 30–32°C band before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Londres no dia 12 de agosto?
31°C 40%
30°C 26%
32°C 21.6%
33°C 7%
$17,549 Vol.
$17,549 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
5%
30°C
26%
31°C
40%
32°C
22%
33°C
7%
34°C ou mais
1%
31°C 40%
30°C 26%
32°C 21.6%
33°C 7%
$17,549 Vol.
$17,549 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
5%
30°C
26%
31°C
40%
32°C
22%
33°C
7%
34°C ou mais
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Met Office guidance projects a maximum of 32°C in London on August 12 under sunny skies and light easterly winds associated with high pressure, while BBC and other models cluster around 31°C. These conditions favor strong daytime heating with minimal cloud cover or precipitation to suppress temperatures. Market-implied odds, led by 31°C at 39.5% followed by 30°C and 32°C, align closely with this consensus from official agencies, reflecting traders' assessment of model agreement on peak values near the upper end of seasonal norms. Minor forecast adjustments from evolving high-pressure positioning or urban heat-island effects at official stations could still shift the exact reading within the narrow 30–32°C band before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions