Official meteorological observations from the Deutscher Wetterdienst confirm a daily maximum of 22°C in Munich on June 15, aligning with model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs that showed stable high-pressure conditions limiting afternoon warming. Surface station data, including automated readings at Munich Airport and the city center, recorded peak values near this threshold under partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with seasonal climatology for mid-June where averages hover around 20–23°C. The 100% market-implied odds reflect this verified measurement with negligible uncertainty. Only an unprecedented post-processing revision or station malfunction could alter resolution, both statistically rare given redundant monitoring networks.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Munich on June 15?
22°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$72,971 Vol.
$72,971 Vol.
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$72,971 Vol.
$72,971 Vol.
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Official meteorological observations from the Deutscher Wetterdienst confirm a daily maximum of 22°C in Munich on June 15, aligning with model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs that showed stable high-pressure conditions limiting afternoon warming. Surface station data, including automated readings at Munich Airport and the city center, recorded peak values near this threshold under partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with seasonal climatology for mid-June where averages hover around 20–23°C. The 100% market-implied odds reflect this verified measurement with negligible uncertainty. Only an unprecedented post-processing revision or station malfunction could alter resolution, both statistically rare given redundant monitoring networks.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions