Official forecasts from Brazil’s National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and supporting international models consistently projected a daily maximum near 23 °C for São Paulo on June 6 under typical early austral winter conditions, including broken cloud cover and light southeasterly flow that limited daytime heating. This aligns with the city’s June climatological average high of approximately 22–23 °C and recent observational trends showing moderation from earlier-month warmth. Post-event station data have now confirmed the peak reached exactly this threshold, producing the market’s overwhelming 100 % implied probability on the 23 °C outcome. Minor model spread or station-to-station differences could theoretically shift the recorded maximum by 1 °C, though current evidence makes such revisions unlikely before final resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em São Paulo no dia 6 de junho?
Temperatura mais alta em São Paulo no dia 6 de junho?
23°C 100.0%
15°C ou menos <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$45,525 Vol.
$45,525 Vol.
6 jun 2026
15°C ou menos
Não
16°C
Não
17°C
Não
18°C
Não
19°C
Não
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Sim
24°C
Não
25°C ou mais
Não
23°C 100.0%
15°C ou menos <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$45,525 Vol.
$45,525 Vol.
6 jun 2026
15°C ou menos
$171 Vol.
Não
16°C
$4,926 Vol.
Não
17°C
$818 Vol.
Não
18°C
$3,868 Vol.
Não
19°C
$3,553 Vol.
Não
20°C
$3,859 Vol.
Não
21°C
$2,447 Vol.
Não
22°C
$3,778 Vol.
Não
23°C
$8,813 Vol.
Sim
24°C
$7,194 Vol.
Não
25°C ou mais
$6,098 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Brazil’s National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and supporting international models consistently projected a daily maximum near 23 °C for São Paulo on June 6 under typical early austral winter conditions, including broken cloud cover and light southeasterly flow that limited daytime heating. This aligns with the city’s June climatological average high of approximately 22–23 °C and recent observational trends showing moderation from earlier-month warmth. Post-event station data have now confirmed the peak reached exactly this threshold, producing the market’s overwhelming 100 % implied probability on the 23 °C outcome. Minor model spread or station-to-station differences could theoretically shift the recorded maximum by 1 °C, though current evidence makes such revisions unlikely before final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$45,525Data de Término
6 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Brazil’s National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and supporting international models consistently projected a daily maximum near 23 °C for São Paulo on June 6 under typical early austral winter conditions, including broken cloud cover and light southeasterly flow that limited daytime heating. This aligns with the city’s June climatological average high of approximately 22–23 °C and recent observational trends showing moderation from earlier-month warmth. Post-event station data have now confirmed the peak reached exactly this threshold, producing the market’s overwhelming 100 % implied probability on the 23 °C outcome. Minor model spread or station-to-station differences could theoretically shift the recorded maximum by 1 °C, though current evidence makes such revisions unlikely before final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$45,525Data de Término
6 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Official forecasts from Brazil’s National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and supporting international models consistently projected a daily maximum near 23 °C for São Paulo on June 6 under typical early austral winter conditions, including broken cloud cover and light southeasterly flow that limited daytime heating. This aligns with the city’s June climatological average high of approximately 22–23 °C and recent observational trends showing moderation from earlier-month warmth. Post-event station data have now confirmed the peak reached exactly this threshold, producing the market’s overwhelming 100 % implied probability on the 23 °C outcome. Minor model spread or station-to-station differences could theoretically shift the recorded maximum by 1 °C, though current evidence makes such revisions unlikely before final resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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